Used Car Market Is Crashing...Is This A Recession Warning?
Rebel Capitalist News
George Gammon
4.7 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 26 September 2025
⏱️ 18 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hello, fellow Robo Capitales, hope you're well. So big news in the used car market. |
| 0:07.0 | CarMax down 20% today. And this is after Tricolor filed for bankruptcy just, what was it, last week or the week prior? |
| 0:22.2 | So we have to ask ourselves, what does this tell us about the economy? But wait, there is more. We have data coming |
| 0:29.7 | out today about initial claims and the GDP numbers, which to say the least, don't jive |
| 0:36.4 | with what's happening with CarMax and the used car |
| 0:40.3 | market. So we've got to put all these pieces of the puzzle together to try to determine what on |
| 0:46.7 | earth is not just happening with the economy right now, but what is likely going to happen in the |
| 0:52.6 | future. So let's get started by going over the Market |
| 0:57.5 | Watch calendar and check this out, guys. I don't know if you've been following interest rates |
| 1:03.9 | today, but they have skyrocketed. Why? Did Scott Besant issue a trillion dollars along |
| 1:10.3 | into the curve? No. Did we explode the deficits today? No. We do that every day. |
| 1:18.9 | What actually came out is growth and inflation expectations improved dramatically. |
| 1:28.3 | So right here, initial jobless claims down to 218, 218, guys. |
| 1:34.4 | Now, this is not a historically low number, but the trend is starting to go back down, |
| 1:40.7 | which means maybe the jobs market is strong and resilient. I mean, I hate to say that, |
| 1:47.7 | but here's the data right now. We've got to look at everything, not just the bullish stuff, |
| 1:53.4 | not just the bearish stuff. So let's look at the third estimate for GDP Q2. Expectations with 3.3 came in at 3.8, 3.8. |
| 2:05.6 | So as a result, durable goods orders, by the way, expectations for a negative 0.4, we're at a positive 2.9. |
| 2:14.6 | And then you get existing home sales a little bit of a beat, but I don't think that really |
| 2:18.6 | impacted rates too much. But the bottom line is when the market saw the initial jobless claims |
| 2:24.9 | and the GDP revision, interest rates skyrocket. Why? Growth in inflation expectations, |
| 2:32.5 | just like we said earlier and why, basically what I say on every |
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