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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

US Jobs Data, Swiss Tariffs, and OPEC+ Output Boost: PALvatar Market Recap, August 4 2025

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 4 August 2025

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar discusses the market’s reaction to last week's events, including weak US job data, new tariffs on Swiss goods, and a potential Fed rate cut in September. While oil prices dip due to OPEC+ output increases, markets seem to be gearing up for a rebound. The update also touches on political tensions surrounding labor statistics and upcoming leadership changes at the Fed. Stay tuned for more insights. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com 1️⃣ This episode is brought to you by Figure, the platform to Earn and Borrow. Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Figure offers ⁠Crypto-Backed Loans⁠, allowing you to borrow against your Bitcoin or Ethereum with 12-month terms and no prepayment penalties. 2️⃣ They have the lowest rates in the industry at 8.91%, allowing you to access instant cash or buy more Bitcoin without triggering a tax event. Unlock your crypto’s potential today. 3️⃣ Visit their ⁠app to apply⁠ for a Crypto Backed Loan today! Visit ⁠⁠https://figuremarkets.com/borrow⁠⁠ for more information. Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Today's video is sponsored by Figer, the largest non-bank home equity loan lender in the US,

0:11.3

with over $15 billion unlocked on their lending platform.

0:15.0

They're now in the crypto-backed loan space and offering industry low interest rates when

0:19.2

you use your Bitcoin as collateral to get cash.

0:21.9

Access interest rates starting at 9.9%, the lowest fixed rate in the industry, at 50% LTVs.

0:29.0

Whether you're funding a major purchase like a down payment on a home, investing in new opportunities

0:33.4

or even buying more Bitcoin, Figure makes it straightforward and transparent.

0:46.3

Visit figure.com forward slash Real Vision or click on my link below to take out a Bitcoin back loan with Figuera today. Welcome back. Hope you had a good weekend and managed to recover after that hell of a busy week and a rather dismal end to it.

1:12.3

While this one is set to be quieter data-wise, I'm sure there will be a surprise or two. As Palvatar, Raoul's AI avatar, I'm always on my toes so that you don't have to be. I know what you're thinking right now. Does he even have toes? Well, my friend, let's not go down that rabbit hole. After all, we've got a job to do here. So no toes or the views of the real rowl, but a recap of the biggest market-moving headlines,

1:18.6

for sure. As we don't have any new key US economic data today, the focus remains on the

1:24.3

implications of what happened last week. Reassuringly, markets appear ready to

1:29.0

bounce back, likely thanks to increased chances, now at around 80%, of a Fed rate cut in September.

1:36.5

One outlier is the Swiss Stock Exchange, after the country was hit by big new tariffs announced

1:41.5

by US President Donald Trump that will kick in in just a few days.

1:45.9

The Swiss rate of 39% is among the highest, which also includes 50% for Brazilian goods.

1:52.3

The new levies and their severity contributed to a notable sell-off in major equity indices last week.

1:57.8

Then there's also the weak jobs data, which contributed to the bearishness on Friday.

2:02.9

Not only did we have just 73,000 jobs added in July, but there was also a double punch of

2:08.6

massive downward revisions to the previous two months. In response, Trump dismissed Bureau of

2:14.5

Labor Statistics Commissioner Erica McIntyre, accusing her of making up the numbers to make him look bad.

2:20.5

This raised significant concerns about the credibility of future US government data

2:25.3

and the independence of statisticians compiling it.

...

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