Upon What Data Does the Fed Depend? – Ep. 100
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 4 August 2015
⏱️ 30 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
* This is my 100th Podcast
* This new format allows for timely analysis when is is most convenient for me and for you, the listener
* Please share these podcasts, to get this valuable information out
* My podcasts can be accessed on YouTube, on iTunes and other podcast sites and right here on my website
* Also don't forget to check out my Twitter feed, because I comment much more frequently on daily economic news
* Check out my post on Facebook about the CEO who established a $70,000 minimum salary for all his workers, and the latest news is that his policy is about to take the company down
* Today a bombshell was dropped on the labor markets on Friday in the form of Employment Cost Index
* Measures the cost to employers: wages and benefits
* The expected increase was .6, but the actual number came in at just .2 for the quarter
* This the weakest number since 1982, since they began keeping records
* Janet Yellen has been saying that improvements in the labor market must precede a rate hike
* This is understood to mean wages, labor participation rate and full time vs part time jobs
* We're 0 for three, right now - all three are falling
* As soon as this number came out, they dollar sold hard
* But then, the dollar clawed its way back, and gold was down again - gold stocks got crushed - Why?
* Jon Hilsenrath, the chief economics correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, came out with an article, speaking for the Fed, stating that the Fed does not need wage growth to hike rates
* Really? The Fed is going out of its way to preserve the pretense that it can actually raise rates
* They are seeking the psychological effect of rate hikes without the real world damage of actual rate hikes
* If the Fed still believes it won't raise rates unless the labor market improves and they are taking wage hikes off the table, then what are they waiting for?
* The other two remaining criteria are still down
* Janet Yellen still says she's data dependent and all the data that she is depending on is negative
* The stock market looks very toppy - it looks like it will roll over and when it does the Fed will bring in the cavalry in the form of stimulus
* The Fed built the recovery on a stock market bubble and a real estate bubble
* Ben Bernanke's goal for 7 years was to create a "wealth effect" on assets that are now at risk - they are not going to let them collapse
* All of the data would argue for no rate hike in September
* Janet Yellen is implying, by talking about rate hikes, that she believes that the economy is going to improve, when all signs indicate the opposite
* Therefore traders are ignoring bad economic data because they trust that Janet Yellen believes the economy will improve soon
* Don't pay any attention to the man behind the curtain, because Janet Yellen says the bad news is not real
* We can all see the negative data, but no one wants to acknowledge it because Janet Yellen is not recognizing it publicly
* They buy the dollar, they sell gold and there is a dichotomy between those who don't own gold and have no ability to deliver it and are selling gold to those who don't actually want it - they are gambling on the price of gold
* The amount of gold being gambled is greater than ever before
* Sales for those who want to hold gold are skyrocketing - the mints are running out of supply
* We are running out of some of our silver
* Schiff Gold
* Our customers who buy gold and silver are not offering to sell - they are buying more
* They are reacting to lower prices
* On the other side of the coin, clients are reacting negatively to the high dollar weighing on the relative value of foreign stocks
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The Peter Shif Show. |
| 0:10.8 | Well you're listening to the 100th podcast of the Peter Shif Show and most of you will |
| 0:17.0 | recall that Peter Shif Show began as a daily syndicated radio show where I did two hours |
| 0:24.9 | every weekday of live radio but when I decided that I no longer had enough free time to |
| 0:32.2 | do the radio show I ended it but then I ushered in this new format of the podcast and I record |
| 0:41.2 | my podcasts whenever I have a spare moment and so I am no longer committed to being at |
| 0:48.2 | the microphone from 10 a.m. to noon five days a week I just record the podcast when I have |
| 0:55.7 | some time and this is the 100th podcast and I guess I don't know if that if time is going |
| 1:02.9 | quickly or slowly 100 seems like a lot it seems like I've done a lot of podcasts and I hope |
| 1:08.6 | everybody has been enjoying them I also hope that you're sharing them that is really my |
| 1:14.1 | goal for the podcast is that you tell your friends about them you get other people listening |
| 1:20.1 | to these podcasts it's certainly more convenient than the radio show they can listen whenever |
| 1:25.1 | they have their free time I record it when I have time you listen when you have time and so |
| 1:30.5 | hopefully you're helping me to spread the word and getting more people not just my core |
| 1:36.7 | audience but helping to expand my listenership by getting more people to tune in to the Peter |
| 1:43.3 | Shif Show either at shifradio.com via my YouTube channel or on any place that carries the podcast |
| 1:51.7 | if it's iTunes or Stitcher or RevRels it happens to be available to listen or to download and |
| 1:58.7 | by the way too you should also value yourself of all of my social media outlets I notice that |
| 2:06.2 | this week I hit 60,000 Twitter followers which still seems quite a bit low because I have I |
| 2:12.8 | think over 95,000 Facebook likes and over 120,000 subscribers to my YouTube channel so it seems |
| 2:20.3 | that Twitter is bringing up the rear but you know don't forget Twitter I do tweet out a lot of |
| 2:25.7 | interesting comments on the news events I comment on a lot more of the news events on Twitter these |
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