Unemployment rate keeps climbing
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 16 December 2025
⏱️ 4 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show Notes
One million driverless Teslas by 2035?
Steve Cress’ Top Stocks for 2026 – sign up today
Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb. Sign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis. |
| 0:09.0 | Good afternoon, today is Tuesday, December 16th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan. |
| 0:14.0 | Our top story so far, a host of delayed economic data hit this morning as the government catches up from its shutdown. |
| 0:20.0 | But while the numbers |
| 0:20.9 | filled in some gaps, the overall macro picture didn't get much clearer. The October-November |
| 0:25.5 | jobs numbers were the big event. Non-farm payrolls rose by 64,000 in November, topping the 40K |
| 0:31.3 | consensus, and rebounding from the 105,000 decline in October, which was also an initial estimate today. November payroll showed a rebound |
| 0:39.3 | from October's expected slump, which reflected the loss of 162,000 federal government jobs, |
| 0:45.0 | links to its deferred resignation program, and a deceleration from September's number. Federal |
| 0:50.2 | government employment is dropped by 271,000 since reaching a peak in January. |
| 0:55.0 | The unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, higher than the 4.5 consensus, and accelerating |
| 1:00.7 | for 4.4% in September. |
| 1:03.1 | That's the highest level since September 2021, and the fourth straight month the jobless rate has |
| 1:07.5 | risen. |
| 1:08.5 | It hasn't done that in 16 years. Economist Justin Wolfer says the public |
| 1:12.2 | sector is not the whole story. Noting private sector hiring remains weak and an average of 45,000 a month |
| 1:18.0 | and may have stalled totally. While economists Ernie Tedeshi says overall employment and participation rates |
| 1:23.6 | continue to look good, but the flows, jolts and the change in the unemployment rate, |
| 1:27.8 | look much weaker, and certain subpopulations, for example 16 to 24-year-olds, no longer |
| 1:33.3 | look strong. Retail sales for October also dropped, basically flat with September, |
| 1:38.2 | core retail sales gained 0.4%, and were up 0.5% ex-gas and autos. |
| 1:43.7 | Among active stocks, Pfizer is lower after it revised its |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Seeking Alpha, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of Seeking Alpha and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

