meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
Marketplace Morning Report

"Uncertainty" marked this year's economy. What about 2026?

Marketplace Morning Report

Marketplace

News, Business

4.5927 Ratings

🗓️ 29 December 2025

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

You might have heard the word "uncertainty" muttered more than a few times over the last 12 months. Today, we're chatting with an economist brave enough to look uncertainty in the eye and make some predictions for 2026 about the stock market, job market, inflation, and the fate of President Donald Trump's tariffs. And later: Applications for adjustable-rate mortgages have more than doubled over the past year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This Marketplace podcast is supported by Fayree Drinker, one of the largest law firms in Minnesota,

0:06.4

with nearly 300 Minneapolis attorneys helping clients solve complex legal issues and meeting their goals in the Twin Cities and beyond,

0:15.2

Faygriddrinker.com.

0:18.2

The economic year that was and the year to come.

0:22.6

For Marketplace, I'm Novasafo in for David Brancaccio.

0:26.3

We're taking stock of 2025 as we look toward what might be in store for the economy in the year ahead.

0:32.2

The biggest economic story, of course, has been tariffs.

0:35.5

President Trump raised them to their highest rate in nearly a century.

0:39.0

Consequently, the word economists uttered the most this year was uncertainty. That said,

0:45.5

we wanted to see which economist was brave enough to look uncertainty in the eye and make some predictions for 2026.

0:53.3

And Bank of America's senior economist, Stephen Juneau,

0:56.0

obliged. Welcome to the program. Thanks for having me on. When it comes to the economy,

1:00.7

what do you expect will be the most spoken word that you will utter in 2026?

1:06.1

Continued outperformance. Maybe that's two words, obviously, but yeah. Okay. Go on, explain yourself.

1:12.9

Well, I think when we look to next year, there's good reason to expect that we can continue to see

1:18.5

the U.S. economy, just outperformance peers, continue to grow kind of above trend. There's a lot of

1:24.6

tailwinds for next year. You have an expansionary fiscal bill. You have

1:28.5

hopefully less tariff uncertainty, less uncertainty relative to this year. You have an easing Fed,

1:34.7

so lower rates should help on the margin. And then you have the AI-related CAP-X that should continue

1:41.5

next year that we saw was obviously a big reason for kind of the

1:44.5

resiliency this year in the face of all this uncertainty.

1:47.8

Where do you see the inflation headed and where do you see the job market, the labor market

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Marketplace, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Marketplace and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.