UFC 272 Betting Preview
The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast
iHeartPodcasts
4.7 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 4 March 2022
⏱️ 25 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
We're back! Action Network Senior Writer Sean Zerillo and former professional fighter and MMA analyst Billy Ward once again join host Brendan Glasheen to preview the biggest event in fighting this weekend in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Together they go through UFC 272 from a betting and DFS perspective, highlighting Covington vs Masvidal and all biggest fights on the card.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome into the action network podcast. This is your UFC 272 betting preview |
| 0:22.8 | Branding Glashine with action network senior writer Sean Zerillo former professional MMA fighter |
| 0:29.6 | and MMA analyst Billy Ward back this week for UFC 272. It's at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. |
| 0:38.1 | We had some news come in early in the week that was going to affect this coming weekend. |
| 0:43.3 | And now that we've sorted all that out, odds of, of course, available wherever you may please |
| 0:49.4 | getting set for what should be another great weekend in the fighting world. Let's start with |
| 0:55.3 | this. Of course, the main event Colby Covington is the favorite against Jorge Mazvedal. Sean, |
| 1:03.2 | your thoughts on the main event this weekend? This fight is going to be won or lost up against |
| 1:08.7 | the cage. I think it plays out very similarly if Covington wins to the first fight between Usman |
| 1:13.7 | and Mosvedal. Usman secured five takedowns in that fight. I believe he shot 16 times. |
| 1:18.8 | Had 16 minutes of control time. Largely, that was up against the cage. Mosvedal, the strike |
| 1:24.2 | you're here to Covington being the wrestler. Covington, good volume, good pace, pressure, durability. |
| 1:29.9 | I mean, hope for it on you for five rounds. So even if these two just turn out to end up in a |
| 1:34.5 | kickboxing match because they want to punch it out, I do think Jorge has a chance on power |
| 1:39.7 | optics, but Colby should have more volume over the course of 25 minutes. And he's obviously |
| 1:44.8 | going to have the grappling upside here as well, which is what makes him a minus 350 favorite. |
| 1:49.0 | Never would lay that type of praise on him because he's not a finisher. So I'm going to look to |
| 1:53.2 | the prop market. His minus 110 minus 105 up to minus 120 decision line is interesting. I would |
| 1:59.5 | make that closer to minus 130. But you can find a fight to go to the distance prop at minus 122 |
| 2:06.5 | and just looking at the math, I don't want to get too crazy in terms of nerdy out over the math |
| 2:10.4 | here. But this is the type of stuff that if you're going to bet sports, you need to look for in terms |
| 2:14.2 | of betting theory. What is the book telling you? For you at my projections, what is the book telling |
... |
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