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Science Talk

U.S. Flu Spread Counts On Southern Cold Snaps

Science Talk

Scientific American

Science

4.2644 Ratings

🗓️ 21 March 2018

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A multifactorial analysis finds that the ignition of a flu epidemic stems from a blast of colder weather striking an otherwise warm, humid, urban environment, and driving people indoors into close quarters.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Understanding the human body is a team effort. That's where the Yachtel group comes in.

0:05.8

Researchers at Yachtolt have been delving into the secrets of probiotics for 90 years.

0:11.0

Yachtold also partners with nature portfolio to advance gut microbiome science through the global grants for gut health, an investigator-led research program.

0:20.0

To learn more about Yachtol, visit yawcult.co.

0:22.7

J-P. That's Y-A-K-U-L-T dot C-O.J-P. When it comes to a guide for your gut, count on Yacolt.

0:33.6

This is Scientific Americans 60-second. I'm Karen Hopkin.

0:38.8

If you've got the flu, your focus is on getting better, not on how you caught it.

0:43.7

But from a public health standpoint, tracking how flu spreads can help keep the virus contained.

0:49.2

In the past, models predicting the path of epidemics have focused on travel by plane.

0:53.6

In some cases combining

0:55.2

data on population density with airport locations. And when studies showed that influenza

1:00.5

transmission is modulated by humidity, scientists injected information on climate into the mix.

1:06.4

Now, a new study combines data on a variety of factors, from doctor's visits and vaccination coverage

1:12.3

to weather patterns in the movement of individuals as recorded by Twitter.

1:17.1

The finding? In the U.S., influenza typically arises in the warm, humid conditions of the South

1:22.8

and spreads quickly, thanks to the high degree of social connectivity in the region.

1:28.5

The finding is in the journal E-Life. The researchers started by pouring over health care records from more than 40 million

1:34.1

families, looking for reports of flu-like symptoms. The analysis covered nine seasons worth of data,

1:40.3

from 2003 to 2011. And it pointed toward outbreak starting near the Gulf of Mexico, or the Southern Atlantic,

1:48.0

a surge that seemed to coincide with the southward migration of ducks.

1:52.7

We did our first analysis, and indeed looked like ducks could be possible carriers of the virus,

2:00.1

starting spark of the influenza epidemic.

...

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