Two Retirement Experts Discuss How They’ll Decide When to Retire
Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 31 January 2026
⏱️ 23 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | How to decide when to retire and updates from the housing market. |
| 0:08.3 | You're listening to the Saturday Personal Finance edition of Motleypool Money. |
| 0:15.5 | I'm Robert Brok, but this week I speak with Motleypool contributor Dan Kaplanier about how we're each determining when we can retire. |
| 0:24.8 | But first, here's some news items from last week, and they all have to do with housing. |
| 0:29.3 | First up, Redfin announced that more than 40,000 home purchase agreements were canceled in December. |
| 0:34.7 | That represents 16.3% of all homes that went under contract the highest |
| 0:39.2 | percentage of monthly cancellation since Redfin began tracking the metric in 2017. One reason could be |
| 0:46.0 | that home buyers are becoming more cautious amidst economic anxiety. After all, the Michigan Consumer |
| 0:51.6 | Sentiment Index is near its lowest level in 50 years, though it has ticked up a bit in recent months. |
| 0:57.6 | But another reason is that inventory has risen, giving potential home buyers more choices. |
| 1:02.7 | According to Chen Zhao, head of economic research at Redfin, quote, |
| 1:06.7 | home sellers outnumber buyers by a record margin, meaning the buyers who are in the market have |
| 1:11.8 | options and may walk away if they believe they can find a better or more affordable home. |
| 1:17.5 | End of quote. |
| 1:19.0 | This rise in inventory has weighed on prices, which brings us to our second item. |
| 1:22.8 | Last week, it was announced that the S&K Schiller Home Price Index declined 0.1% in November and grew just 1.4% |
| 1:30.4 | year over year. That's a slowdown from what we've seen in recent years. Home prices are up more |
| 1:34.7 | than 50% since the pandemic, including double-digit gains in 2020 and 2021. Such strong price growth |
| 1:41.4 | over the past several years may have you wondering how real estate compares |
| 1:44.7 | to the stock market, while a recent article from the Bespoke Investment Group took a look and found |
| 1:49.5 | that the 20-year return of the S&P K Schiller Index is actually just 3.1% per year on average. |
| 1:56.5 | That's about what long-term treasuries have returned over the same period, and much less than the |
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