Tuesday November 28th, 2023 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 28 November 2023
⏱️ 19 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The Simple Handicap for Tuesday November 28th, 2023
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everybody. The Simple Handi Gap for Tuesday, November 28th. Thank you for making me a part of your morning. |
| 0:06.0 | NFL Week 12 in the rearview mirror and we are on to the final six weeks of the NFL season with week 13 kicking off |
| 0:14.0 | Thursday night football with the Seahawks on the road at the Dallas Cowboys |
| 0:17.6 | Dallas now out to a nine and a half point |
| 0:19.8 | spread at Chris nine everywhere else across the market with the exceptions being heritage |
| 0:24.6 | DK and Caesers still lingering behind at 8.5 had some convoluted thoughts on this game |
| 0:30.8 | yesterday when we did the Monday morning |
| 0:33.0 | podcast kind of got a roundabout way to get to the final sort of |
| 0:37.4 | concluding thought that I had where it's like okay this is probably going to |
| 0:40.6 | get pushed up and we're going to see money come back on |
| 0:42.8 | Seattle once this gets to nine or nine and a half. I would really be surprised if |
| 0:48.0 | this pushes up further and gets to ten, but I'm saying this about a lot of games this week and it's a weird spot because I think |
| 1:00.0 | a lot of people listening to the podcast this morning are going to be in one of two camps this week when they kind of play off of each other. |
| 1:09.0 | So in week |
| 1:13.0 | almost everybody went home a winner right massive weekend for betters lots of |
| 1:18.0 | favorites covering lots of games going over lots of winners that week there's going to be people that look at that and say, hey, it's the NFL. That's going to correct itself. I just want to be on a lot of underdogs this week, right? And that's sort of camp number one, just people that want to oppose that. |
| 1:33.2 | There's going to be another camp of folks who say, look, I value closing numbers within the |
| 1:38.8 | market, I value market ratings, and some of these numbers are just getting to absolute |
| 1:43.2 | extremes and so I'm going to be looking for a lot of these ugly underdogs I'm |
| 1:47.9 | betting numbers I'm not betting teams then there's another camp that's kind of on |
| 1:52.2 | the side that's probably going to look at this and say |
| 1:54.0 | there are some teams that are laying big numbers but it's arguably not enough because some of these teams are really bad |
... |
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