Tuesday November 28th, 2023 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 28 November 2023
⏱️ 19 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The Simple Handicap for Tuesday November 28th, 2023
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everybody, the simple handicap for Tuesday, November 28th. |
| 0:04.1 | Thank you for making me a part of your morning, NFL Week 12 in the rearview mirror, |
| 0:08.2 | and we are on to the final six weeks of the NFL season with Week 13 kicking off Thursday |
| 0:14.9 | night football with the Seahawks on the road at the Dallas Cowboys. |
| 0:17.7 | Dallas now out to a nine and a half point spread at Chris. Nine, |
| 0:21.8 | everywhere else across the market, with the exceptions being Heritage, D.K. and Caesars still lingering |
| 0:26.7 | behind at eight and a half. Had some convoluted thoughts on this game yesterday when we did |
| 0:32.3 | the Monday morning podcast. Kind of got a roundabout way to get to the final sort of concluding thought that I had |
| 0:38.7 | where it's like, okay, this is probably going to get pushed up and we're going to see |
| 0:42.0 | money come back on Seattle once this gets to nine or nine and a half. |
| 0:46.1 | I would really be surprised if this pushes up further and gets to 10, but I'm saying this |
| 0:52.5 | about a lot of games this week. And it's a weird spot because I think |
| 1:00.0 | a lot of people listening to the podcast this morning are going to be in one of two camps this |
| 1:06.5 | week when they kind of play off of each other. So in week 12, Thanksgiving week, almost everybody went home a winner, right? |
| 1:14.6 | Massive weekend for betters, lots of favorites covering, lots of games going over, lots of |
| 1:21.3 | winners that week. |
| 1:22.4 | There's going to be people that look at that and say, hey, it's the NFL. |
| 1:25.1 | That's going to correct itself. |
| 1:26.8 | I just want to be on a lot of |
| 1:28.4 | underdogs this week, right? And that's sort of camp number one, just people that want to oppose that. |
| 1:33.4 | There's going to be another camp of folks who say, look, I value closing numbers within the market. |
| 1:39.4 | I value market ratings. And some of these numbers are just getting to absolute extremes. And so I'm going to |
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