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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Tuesday November 22nd, 2022 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 22 November 2022

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Right Angle Sports CBB Service Info: https://raspicks.com/order

Join The Simple Handicap Telegram Channel here: https://t.me/+ByNAj_cW_EdjZmIx

Transcript

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0:00.0

Good morning, everyone, the simple handicap for Tuesday, November 22nd. Thank you for making me a part of your morning.

0:08.3

A quick reminder before we get rolling. There's a show today, a show tomorrow, will not be uploading episodes Thursday morning or Friday morning just because of this Thanksgiving.

0:19.2

You're with friends, you're with family, the normal morning routines and commutes. Not the same for so many people listening to this show.

0:26.4

So I'll forego those episodes and there'll be a gap between the Wednesday morning show

0:30.7

and then the show Sunday evening following the games on week number 12.

0:36.0

With all that said, let's get to the NFL week 12, market rundown, and it all starts with

0:40.2

the Buffalo Bills on the road at the Detroit Lions Thursday morning for most people, Thursday afternoon,

0:45.5

12.30 p.m. Eastern time, for those of you out east, it is a nine and a half point spread this

0:51.7

morning at Chris. Nine and a half fan to a rest of the market is sitting at nine flat total got as high as 54 still hanging there at circa 53 and a half now everywhere else on the board i look at this number and after having the data digest there's going to be no health improvement expected on the defensive side for the

1:13.1

bills, especially within the secondary. I still feel like the offensive performance that the

1:18.8

bills produce when given the chance to play indoors within a dome is still something that is not

1:25.5

fully priced into the sides.

1:28.1

We obviously see the total is very high,

1:30.0

but just that offensive output that they have when not playing outdoors is significant.

1:36.4

Although the lions are getting healthy,

1:38.9

I do think that this is a bit of a mismatch.

1:41.3

Now, it's a bit of a weird number in this dead zone on a meaningless number

1:45.7

of nine. Let's see what the next move is, but certainly have some intrigue here when looking at

1:50.8

the bills on the side. You also have to throw in the fact that there's really not that much of a

1:54.5

home field advantage since the bills played in this same stadium just 96 hours before this game

2:00.0

will kick off a very rare circumstance

2:02.4

for a road team to be in. New York Giants on the road at the Dallas Cowboys getting ugly.

...

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