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The Dividend Cafe

Tuesday - June 24, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Estate Planning, Investing, Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Business, Macro Economics, Dividend Growth Investing, Monetary Policy

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 24 June 2025

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Market Recap and Investment Wisdom from the Dividend Cafe

In this episode of the Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen fills in for Brian Szytel to provide a comprehensive market update. The major market indices, including the Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ, all saw significant gains, while the bond market experienced slight increases. The technology sector led the gains with a 1.6% rise, followed closely by financials, whereas the energy sector lagged behind. A notable drop in oil prices was observed, attributed to geopolitical factors involving a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. David concludes with a critical piece of investment advice: timing the market based on current events is futile and can lead to significant losses.

00:00 Introduction and Host Change

00:35 Market Recap: Major Indices Surge

00:55 Bond Market Movements

01:20 Sector Performance Highlights

01:42 Oil Price Plunge: Geopolitical Factors

02:16 Ceasefire Impact on Markets

02:42 Investment Wisdom: Avoid Market Timing

03:58 Conclusion and Sign-Off

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio

0:06.6

and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.5

Well, hello, welcome to the Dividend Cafe. If the voice doesn't sound familiar, it's because

0:17.4

it's me, David Bonson, and you're used to me on Mondays and Fridays in the Dividing Cafe.

0:22.7

My partner, Brian Sightel, normally brings you the daily blurb after market on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.

0:28.5

But I am pinch hitting for Brian myself today because he is on an airplane.

0:33.2

And I am here at our Grand Rapids, Michigan office where I just got done giving a speech.

0:38.7

And Brian's going to be joining me for some meetings tomorrow.

0:42.1

But in the meantime, markets were open and boy, were they active today.

0:47.7

Quick recap, the Dow was up over 500 points, 1.2%.

0:52.5

The S&P was right there behind it, up 1.1%. The NASDAQ at 1.4%. So very substantial

1:00.8

moves and risk assets over 1% across all three major market indices. On the bond market, slight

1:08.8

gains in the short end and long end. The two-year treasury yield was down one basis point to 3.82.

1:17.6

The 10-year was down two basis points to 4.3%. Keep in mind when the yield is dropping, that means the prices are higher.

1:26.1

So a move higher in stock substantially,

1:29.0

a move higher in bonds marginally. The top performing sector in the market today was technology up

1:36.6

1.6, but financials were right there with it up 1.5. The only sector really down today was energy and it was down one and a half and it was

1:47.5

down yesterday quite a bit too. But oil was down about 9% yesterday and it was down another 5% today.

1:54.7

I want you to think about that. Oil closed today at $65 a barrel. Sunday night when I went to bed, it was at $77 a barrel. That is just

2:04.7

absolutely unprecedented in 48 hours to have oil dropped $12 a barrel when there was no economic

2:12.8

reason. It was entirely geopolitical, and this is entirely a relief move in response to what seems to be a lack of retaliation from Iran as it pertains to the U.S. decimating its nuclear capability.

2:28.3

So the markets today responding to the appearance of an agreement for a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. There was a little

...

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