Trumped Up Irrational Exuberance Continues – Ep. 212
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 24 November 2016
⏱️ 41 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
* The Dow Jones is in record territory, closing above 19,000; they're already starting to talk Dow 20,000 now
* The markets are euphoric
* All the traders who were so convinced that President Trump would be a disaster for the stock market, now think it's a boom for the stock market
* It shows you how fickle investors are, but also how quickly the narrative can flip
* Personally, I don't think it has anything to do with the fundamentals
* I think traders are trying to push the markets in a particular direction, and they're just grasping for reasons to justify it
* Obviously, what they're talking about now is all this extra economic growth and inflation (supposedly inflation is a good thing)
* This is going to result from the the massive fiscal stimulus that we're going to get from the Trump administration
* Of course, everybody is ignoring the monetary drag that is already evident from the bloodbath in the bond market
* And this is going to continue, in fact if you look at the trend lines
* We've broken some trend lines now, which were down in yield and up in bond prices that have been in existence since 2007
* So we have done some serious technical damage to the bond market
* The 10-year yield, right now, is at 2.357, which is still low
* But it has moved up by 32% in the last 2 weeks
* That is a huge percentage increase in long-term interest rates
* First of all, this is already decimating the commercial real estate market, which is the bulk of Donald Trump's net worth
* He's going to be running his business from the White House while he is running the country; he says that's perfectly legal
* Clearly he doesn't want to see a continuation of the collapse in the commercial real estate market
* But believe me, these cap rates are moving up rapidly
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Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | The Peter Ships Show |
| 0:09.8 | Well the Dow Jones is in record territory closing above 19,000. |
| 0:15.2 | They're already started to talk Dow 20,000 now. |
| 0:19.4 | The markets are euphoric. |
| 0:21.7 | All the traders who were so convinced that President Trump would be a disaster for the stock |
| 0:28.1 | market. |
| 0:29.1 | I don't think it's a boom for the stock market. |
| 0:31.8 | It shows you a how fickle investors are, but also how quickly the narrative can flip. |
| 0:38.5 | And personally, I don't think it has anything to do with the fundamentals. |
| 0:41.4 | I think traders are trying to push the markets in a particular direction and they're just |
| 0:45.8 | grasping for reasons to justify it. |
| 0:49.2 | Obviously, what they're talking about now is all this extra economic growth and inflation. |
| 0:55.3 | Probably more inflation is a good thing, but this is going to result from this massive |
| 0:59.4 | fiscal stimulus that we're going to get from the Trump administration. |
| 1:03.8 | Of course, everybody is ignoring the monetary drag that is already evident from the blood |
| 1:09.5 | bath in the bond market. |
| 1:11.4 | And this is going to continue. |
| 1:13.2 | In fact, if you look at the trend lines, we've broken some trend lines now, which were |
| 1:18.3 | down and yield and up in bond prices that have been in existence since 2007. |
| 1:24.9 | So we have done some serious technical damage to the bond market. |
| 1:29.1 | The 10-year yield right now is at 2.357, which is still low, but it is moved up by 32 percent |
| 1:40.3 | in the last two weeks. |
... |
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