Welcome to the beat. I'm Ari Melber with James Carville as you see on your screen the

2024 primaries have begun and the presidential guru here the campaign

guru is our lead-off guest and James we're gonna get your break down of, and by the end of your time tonight, I also want to say, I'm going to take you down memory lane in New Hampshire.

So James is standing by as we get into what matters in these Iowa results tonight.

It is a win for Trump.

You probably heard that, and that is undeniably true.

But it is not yet the unified party

that this very well-known prominent ex-president hoped for.

And I've told you how often the Beltway political

pundits get things wrong. Well, their narratives, they hatch them in advance, then

they push them on everyone and sometimes they're echoed and spun by the Trump

wing of the party.

Well that's happening again.

Trump's Iowa win has been dubbed everything from a knockout to a success.

A closer look under the hood shows a more mixed picture.

Here is how the new results came in.

And here we go.

Ready or not?

There's a big wild card in Iowa this evening and that's the weather.

The Fox News Decision Desk can now project that former President Donald Trump

will win the Iowa Caucasus.

This is a very early call in the evening,

...