Trump Will Lose in 2020

The Gist

Peach Fish Productions

News, Daily News

4.5 • 3.7K Ratings

🗓️ 17 July 2019

⏱️ 30 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On The Gist, it's a good day for those who love quarterly fundraising numbers among Democratic presidential candidates! In the interview, we're used to the Nate Silver approach to election forecasting, using constantly changing polling data to predict the likelihood of this or that result. But Rachel Bitecofer, assistant director of the Wason Center for Public Policy, has a better way. Her new model, based on negative partisanship and demographics, is more static, and proved spot-on in 2018. So what does it have to say for 2020? In the Spiel, a theory on what's really keeping Kellyanne and George Conway together. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	This show may contain my tips for making money on Bitcoin.
0:02.8	It won't.
0:03.6	It also may contain explicit language.
0:05.6	And it really might.
0:10.4	It's Tuesday, July 16th, 2019.
0:13.2	From slated to just dime, my Pesca.
0:15.2	And the fundraising numbers are in.
0:18.3	Just can't get excited about the fundraising numbers, can you?
0:21.2	If you do, you're kind of weird.
0:22.9	You don't get into following democratic politics
0:25.9	to be excited by fundraising numbers.
0:27.8	Am I right?
0:28.9	Just an odd combination.
0:31.3	If your number one issue is reforming money in politics,
0:34.8	you're absolutely repelled.
0:36.9	But what should be the number one set of facts coming down the pike this week?
0:42.7	You know whose number one issue is money in politics?
0:45.2	It's Michael Bennett, the sitting US Senator raised $2.8 million.
0:50.0	But the former Colorado governor, John Hickenlooper,
0:53.5	raised $1.1 million.
0:55.7	Of course, Bennett loaned himself $700,000 from his Senate fund.
1:00.6	I guess what this means is that if they're both running for president,
	...

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