Trump Trade Talk Tanks Stocks – Ep. 517
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 4 December 2019
⏱️ 68 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
When the Phase One trade deal was first announced, it was October 11, I think was the date. And before that date, nobody ever heard, "Phase One". It was always, "trade deal, trade deal". There was never any talk of Phase One. Then all of a sudden Trump comes out and says, "We've completed Phase One! The Phase One deal is done. We have concluded negotiations, we have come to a deal. We have this great Phase One deal; it's already done. It's in the bag. We've agreed to it in principle, all we need is the formalities of putting it on paper. We're going to have a big signing ceremony, and it's all going to be done." Oh, and by the way, Trump said, "This is the greatest deal ever for American farmers. They have never had a deal this great; go out and buy some more tractors; I don't even know if we can fill this order, it's so big - it's the biggest order in the history of agriculture!" It's a good thing farmers didn't go out and buy new equipment based on Trump's phony promises.
Sending the Dow Up - Buy the Rumor!
But in any event Marc Faber asked Wilbur Ross, "Do you regret this?" Do you think Trump should not have come out and said this?" And he said, "No, we don't regret it." Of course, why should he regret it? The Dow rose by 1600 points following that comment! That comment sparked all sorts of more comments; the deal is imminent any day, any week or they're going to sign it here... "Buy the rumor, buy the rumor, buy the rumor!" And they pushed the market. The Dow went through 28,000 on all that B.S. So why should Wilbur Ross regret that, when the comments worked?
Bidding the Spoos Higher
I said a long, time ago: "Trump is not talking to the Chinese. He's not negotiating, because if he was, he's the worst negotiator ever. He ought to read, "The Art of the Deal". What he is saying makes no sense, if you're trying to negotiate. The only way Trump's statements make any sense is if they're really designed to boost the stock market. He's not talking to the Chinese; he's talking to the algo's. He's talking to the traders. He's trying to bid the spoos higher. Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/GOLD for a great deal: https://sleep.me * Check out DBJourney and use my code Schiff15 for a great deal: https://dbjourney.com * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://plaud.ai * Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The Dow Jones is now following for its third consecutive day, down 280 points today, 27,502 |
| 0:17.8 | spot 8-1 is where it closed off the lows. |
| 0:21.6 | We were down better than 450 points earlier in the day. |
| 0:26.7 | Yesterday's 200 point plus drop, I think we closed right near the lows of the day. |
| 0:32.3 | A pretty weak take technically yesterday and again follow through today. |
| 0:37.6 | We'll see what happens in the days and weeks ahead. |
| 0:42.0 | December is typically a very strong month. |
| 0:44.1 | In fact, I think it's the strongest month of the year, historically, for the US stock |
| 0:48.2 | market and you get the Santa Claus rally. |
| 0:50.4 | Maybe the Grinch is going to steal that rally this year and we could have a week |
| 0:55.1 | December. |
| 0:56.1 | I know some people think maybe Trump wants the market to come down in December so we |
| 1:00.5 | can have a bigger gain next year, which is an election year. |
| 1:04.6 | Remember, the reason the stock market is up so much this year is because last December |
| 1:09.0 | was the worst December since the Great Depression. |
| 1:12.1 | Now, I don't know if this December could take out that one, but hey, it's possible, given |
| 1:17.1 | the fact that there's no reason for the stock market to be up where it is. |
| 1:21.6 | The only reason the stock market has gone up, I think, is because of the Fed. |
| 1:27.1 | Some of it may be because of all of the teasing about a trade deal, but I think the big factor |
| 1:34.8 | has been the Fed and the pal put. |
| 1:38.5 | Really what the pal put was was the Fed's assurance that under no circumstances would |
| 1:45.3 | it consider raising interest rates. |
... |
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