Welcome back to the Ten Blocks podcast. This is Brian Anderson, the editor of City

Journal. Joining me on today, the editor of City Journal.

Joining me on today's show is Fred Bauer. Fred writes regularly for City Journal on politics,

political campaigns, other issues. His writing has also appeared in National Review, Unheard,

and The Atlantic. He joins us today to talk about some of his recent articles for us, especially

a pre-election piece, a tale of two coalitions, which described the voter support and strategies

that the Trump and Harris campaigns were pursuing, and his post-election commentary, a political

realignment which analyzed Donald Trump's stunning victory Tuesday night. So, Fred,

thanks very much for joining us. Thanks for having me on. So, you know, both the media,

pollsters, or at least some pollsters, had told Americans for weeks to expect a very close election,

but on Tuesday, Trump won not just clearly, but decisively.

Even some who had picked him to win were surprised by the extent of the electoral college

victory and the margins of his victory in terms of developing new areas of support in the

electorate.

So what in your view are the characteristics that led you to describe this in your

city journal piece as a realigning election? Yeah, well, one of the funny things about 2024 is that it's both a

very expected and very unexpected campaign. And I think one of those unexpected things about Tuesday

night was that Trump did better than his polling would vindicated.

Polls consistently have underestimated Trump. They did in 2016. They did in 2020. And I guess they

did it again in 2024. So while the outcome surprised many people how quickly it was decided.

The fact that there was a polling miss in Trump's favor is actually in someone's what you'd expect, I suppose.

But I think in what I, in the C Journal piece, I was thinking about this, what I call this

...