Trump Has "Passed The Test" with TWO Republican Victories In North Carolina

Tim Pool Daily News

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Politics, Society & Culture, News

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🗓️ 11 September 2019

⏱️ 79 minutes

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Summary

Republican Victory In North Carolina Good News For Trump 2020 Reelection, But Democrats Making Gains.In a replacement election and a 'do over' two republicans won congressional districts. One easily defeated the Democratic contender while the other was narrow.In a narrow victory Dan Bishop won a do over election. While this is good news and considered to be Trump "passing a test" on whether he is going to do well in 2020, it was still ten points down from his lead in 2016.Democrats may be making gains, at least on the surface. But there may be another reason for the major drop in republican party support, Trump's base.Many voters came out in 2016 not to support the GOP but to support Trump himself. Democrats may noit actually have a strong lead at all, it may just be that Trump voters don't show up for anyone else. This means come 2020 Trump's base will check R across the board and sweep the house. While far left Democrats are causing a rift in the party moderates are feeling pushed away by the encroaching ideology and policies presented by 2020 Democrats. This may spell victory for Trump in 2020. At the very least the GOP held its own and its good news for republicans all around. Support the show (http://timcast.com/donate) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Two Republicans have won House seats in North Carolina.
0:03.4	One was a replacement vote, one was a duo vote, the little complicated will get into
0:07.2	all the nitty-gritty.
0:08.2	But the big question is, was this good or bad for Republicans in Trump?
0:13.1	And there's actually a good argument that it could be bad news and that it could be good
0:16.4	news.
0:17.4	Democrats thought they might be able to flip one of these seats because the margins and
0:20.7	the polling showed it was getting narrow, but in the end the Republicans win.
0:24.4	Which could show that Trump will hold this space and it's good news when we're going
0:28.4	to 2020.
0:29.4	However, the Democrats did close a very wide gap from 12 points to 2 points and so it
0:34.9	could be good news that Democrats are gaining on Republicans and the next year or so could
0:39.6	make enough gains to start winning back seats in the House or defeating Donald Trump.
0:44.2	We'll read through all of this and I'll give you the breakdown of what's going on
0:47.4	with Dan Bishop, narrowly winning that special election, but I also want to talk about polls.
0:53.2	Why are the polls so wrong?
0:55.7	This was considered to be a test for Donald Trump.
0:58.8	If the Republicans lost, it would have been very, very bad news, but they won.
1:02.2	So there's a small sigh of relief.
1:04.6	However, there's other news coming out about polls showing that it should have gone the
1:08.7	other way.
1:09.7	Trump then slams the polls.
	...

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