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I'm joined by Tom Bonior of Target Smart, Simon Rosenberg, of the Hopium Chronicles.

You know the best data guys in the game going through

early voting patterns, helping us understand the polling out there. Let's start with you, Tom Bonnier.

Tell us, what's the state of play one day before the election? Yeah, I mean, so here we are on the eve

of the big day. We've got a lot of early votes in. About 78 million votes have

been cast. We know, you know, compared to where we were four years ago, which is the baseline

everyone has been using here with all the caveats that we're all pretty well aware of,

that means total turnout is down about 13%. Now, we shouldn't take that as a sign of less intensity and enthusiasm.

What we're taking that sign of is what we expected to be the case, that many people would be

shifting back to election day voting. Now, what I'm struck by just high level when I'm looking

at the early vote data is just really the colossal Republican failure.

And what they've been telling us they were going to do for months and months now, for the resources they have supposedly invested, the people they've brought in like Elon Musk to get their voters out early.

We know that Democrats dominated the early vote four years ago.

Republicans said they recognized the error and they were going to get their voters out before

election day this time around in bigger numbers.

Well, again, overall turnout is down sort of across the board early.

But what I'm struck by is just how much this early vote electorate resembles that 2020 electorate,

...