This morning I welcome Andrew Wilson, who is the political director for the Lincoln Project and a nerdy pollster, which I love.

So welcome. Thanks for being on.

Good morning. Thank you for having me.

Okay. So many questions about all these numbers that were soon up. Like his approval rating is in the shitter.

Yes. If you'll pop up the latest one. So overall approval, 33%, Republicans inexplicably at 68%.

Independence 23 and Democrats 3. Talk about these numbers and if he can rebound from these numbers.

Well, I'll tell you right off the bat.

He cannot rebound from this.

I can't think of a good example of a president rebounding from this kind of polling ebb.

I've never seen it.

But you know, you pointed out Republicans especially. So they're at

68, 30 something approval. So it's interesting because for a very long time, Donald Trump has had

this rock solid hold on Republican voters. And you're not seeing MAGAs to drop. You are seeing MAGAs. They are a slightly smaller

share of the Republican Party than they were in March. But you're seeing these non-Maga Republicans

really turning on Trump and it comes down to the economy and Iran. It's pretty much that simple.

And we'll keep seeing them fall off, right? They're not excited about anything that he's doing. They think he's distracted with

the DC projects and the war in Iran, the ballroom. And so you saw independence on there.

That is a devastating number for any candidate. If you're looking at 70 plus percent disapproval on any issue on any candidate, you're

screwed with independence.

If you look at the whole matrix of issues with independence, it's two to one against

on almost every single thing.

And that was a huge part of his 2024 coalition.

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