Trump and Fed to Blame Each Other for Recession – Ep. 372
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 21 July 2018
⏱️ 41 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The catalyst today was more tweets from President Trump where he is expressing anger, not only at the Federal Reserve, and at the ECB and at the Bank of China, because he is accusing both Europe and China of being currency manipulators; taking advantage of us by weakening their currencies. He's saying that a weak currency gives you an advantage. It doesn't.
Strong Currency Provides Trade Advantage
When it comes to trade, it is a strong currency that gives you the advantage because trade is all about imports. How do you get more stuff for your own citizens, and the way you pay for that stuff is by exporting. But the goal is to export as little as possible and to import as much as possible. If you're a buyer, you always want to pay the least and get the most. So you pay for stuff when you export because you're using resources to produce stuff for other people. But you're not producing stuff for other people because you're charitable, you're trying to earn the money to buy stuff for yourselves that other people made.
Is Trump Firing Back?
Having a strong currency is a huge advantage because it means you can claim a greater portion of the global output. Because the dollar has been so over-valued thanks to the generosity or the stupidity of our trading partners, Americans enjoy greater consumption than what would otherwise be available to them if we were limited by our own collective production. So we actually have the advantage. But by calling out China and the ECB for deliberately weakening their currency, you would think that Trump may want to fire back.
Weakening the Dollar
Donald Trump doesn't control the Fed, but the Treasury Department can intervene in the foreign exchange markets. Maybe, if Donald Trump really believes that these other countries are deliberately weakening their currency and if he has no control over the Fed but he does have control over the U.S. Treasury, he can have the Secretary of the Treasury intervene, go into the Foreign Exchange Market and start dumping dollars, trying to drive the dollar down so that we can reclaim the advantage. At least the way he looks at it.
Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/GOLD for a great deal: https://sleep.me * Check out DBJourney and use my code Schiff15 for a great deal: https://dbjourney.com * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://plaud.ai * Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | The US dollar had a pretty big decline today. |
| 0:12.0 | In fact, the dollar opened stronger. |
| 0:14.5 | The dollar index began the day above 95. |
| 0:18.9 | In fact, it had closed above 95 twice during the week. |
| 0:25.2 | But then it sold off. |
| 0:26.6 | We were down about .7. |
| 0:29.2 | We closed below 94.50. |
| 0:32.1 | I think we traded down in the 94.30s earlier in the day. |
| 0:37.4 | The dollar index, even though it has been above 95 on many days over the last several weeks, |
| 0:45.9 | it has never managed to close on a weekly basis above the 95 handle. |
| 0:53.2 | I had been talking on this podcast for some time that I believed that 95 or anything above |
| 1:00.0 | 95 represented significant upward resistance for the dollar index. |
| 1:05.7 | I did not expect the dollar to make much headway above 95. |
| 1:11.1 | And so far, that call looks to have been accurate. |
| 1:14.6 | The catalyst today for the dollar's sharp reversal. |
| 1:18.7 | This was probably one of the biggest down days for the dollar this year across the board |
| 1:24.0 | weakness, which is likely to continue. |
| 1:27.8 | And believe me, we're going to have days that are going to be much, much weaker than this. |
| 1:31.6 | I believe later in the year and of course next year and the year after that, I mean, |
| 1:36.7 | I think the dollar is going to get particularly beaten up. |
| 1:39.9 | But the catalyst today was more tweets from President Trump, where he is expressing anger, |
| 1:48.2 | not only at the Federal Reserve, or not only at the ECB and at the Bank of China, because |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Peter Schiff, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of Peter Schiff and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

