Trade Wars and Tariff Threats
City Journal Audio
Manhattan Institute
4.7 • 657 Ratings
🗓️ 20 June 2018
⏱️ 21 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
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Summary
Milton Ezrati joins Seth Barron to discuss President Trump's talk of tariffs, China's vulnerability in a potential trade war with the United States, and the history of the global trade order.
A tumultuous recent meeting of the G7 nations, trade disputes with Canada, and tariff threats against China all point to a shakeup of world trade. While the global economy would likely suffer in a trade war, Ezrati argues that the U.S. actually has the upper hand in trade negotiations with Beijing.
Milton Ezrati is a contributing editor at The National Interest, an affiliate of the Center for the Study of Human Capital at the University at Buffalo (SUNY), and chief economist for Vested, a New York-based communications firm. His latest book is Thirty Tomorrows: The Next Three Decades of Globalization, Demographics, and How We Will Live.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome back to 10 blocks. This is Seth Barron, associate editor of City Journal. |
| 0:29.2 | President Trump has shaken up the world stage, especially on the topic of trade. |
| 0:34.7 | Trump has alternated between advocating return to protectionism and tariffs and demanding |
| 0:40.1 | that all developed nations eliminate all barriers to trade. Stiling himself as the consummate dealmaker, |
| 0:46.5 | President Trump has certainly set our trading partners on their heels with his unusual negotiating tactics. |
| 0:53.2 | What is the real story on trade and what should we expect? |
| 0:57.7 | I'm joined now by Milton Esradi, a contributor to City Journal. |
| 1:02.3 | Milton is a nationally regarded economist who's had a successful career in the financial industry. |
| 1:08.3 | Retiring as the chief economist for investment manager Lord Abbott in 2015. He now serves as |
| 1:14.5 | chief economist for Vested. Milton is the author of 30 Tomorrow's, the next three decades of |
| 1:21.2 | globalization, demographics, and how we will live. He writes frequently for City Journal and has published in a wide variety of other publications |
| 1:29.9 | as well. |
| 1:30.9 | Thanks for joining us today, Milton. |
| 1:32.4 | It's a pleasure to be here. |
| 1:34.2 | Well, in two recent C.J. articles for City Journal, why China can't afford a trade war |
| 1:40.4 | and Trump's tariff gambit, you laid out the current landscape of trade from the American perspective. |
| 1:48.6 | And you made an interesting point about China. |
| 1:51.0 | You said that China is somewhat vulnerable. |
| 1:55.6 | How so? |
| 1:56.5 | I always think of China as being the like the gorilla that we can't escape. |
| 2:01.8 | Well, in some respects it is. It's a manufacturing powerhouse and the United States buys a lot from |
| 2:08.4 | China. I pointed to the vulnerability because China needs trade much more than the United |
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