Trade War Ends Before It Begins – Ep. 354
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 22 May 2018
⏱️ 37 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
We had solid gains today in the major stock market averages; the DJIA putting in the largest percentage gain, just over 1.2% or 298 points. I think at the highs, the Dow was up 370 and change, so a strong day, S&P, NASDAQ also up not quite as much calculated as percentages. The Russell 2000 was not up as much as the other averages but it is at a record high again today. I think it's the Russell 2000 that ultimately could make the biggest percentage drop once stock market traders start to figure out what's actually going to happen.
A Lot of Saber Rattling and Not a Lot of Fencing
But in the meantime, today, they were celebrating the cease fire in the trade war. Although, I don't think I should call it a cease fire because nobody actually fired a shot. It has been more of a war of words than a real conventional battle, I mean there was basically a lot of saber rattling and not a lot of fencing. But I think what happened today is that we callee a truce. Both sides sheathed their sabers and agreed that there is not going to be a war.
The Markets Have Not Adequately Priced in the Cost of a Trade War
And I think the markets were relieved, and so we got a relief rally based on that good news. Although I don't think the markets sufficiently priced in the cost of a hot trade war. I know Donald Trump said, "Oh, trade wars are easy to win." Believe me, if they were easy to win, we would have waged one. They're not easy to win. I don't think the markets really discounted how bad it would have been had the cold war turned hot.
Peace Dividend
Nonetheless, the fact that it wasn't going to happen - I think most people would agree that a trade war would be bad, and if now there is going to be trade peace, well there is a peace dividend and so we got that today. Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/GOLD for a great deal: https://sleep.me * Check out DBJourney and use my code Schiff15 for a great deal: https://dbjourney.com * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://plaud.ai * Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Transcript
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| 1:17.2 | The Peter Shiff Show. |
| 1:19.7 | We have solid gains today in the major stock market averages. The Dow Jones putting in the |
| 1:29.2 | largest percentage gain just over 1.2%. Just under 300 points, 298, I think at the highs, the |
| 1:37.2 | Dow was up maybe 370 and changed. So a strong day, S&P, NASDAQ also up not quite as large as a |
| 1:45.7 | percentage move. The Russell 2000 not up as much as the Dow, but it's at a record high again today. |
| 1:52.9 | I think that it's the Russell 2000 that ultimately could make the biggest percentage drop |
| 1:58.8 | when stock market traders start to figure out what's actually going to happen. But in the meantime, |
| 2:04.4 | today they were celebrating the ceasefire in the trade war. Although I don't think I should call |
... |
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