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The Property Podcast

TPP223: What is happening to the London property market

The Property Podcast

Rob Bence & Rob Dix

Education, News, Business News, Investing, Business

4.82K Ratings

🗓️ 22 June 2017

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This week we're focussing on a topic discussed regularly - what's happening to the London property market? So, what's happened over the last 8 years? London prices have grown 80% over 8 years (since 2009) Every price band has increased by roughly the same percentage...BUT timing differs Top 30% recovered from 2009-2012. Driven by overseas buyers and domestic residents who didn’t need mortgages or could get them more easily Lower sectors only grew strongly from 2013 onwards. Driven by ripple effect, confidence, access to finance (This is why it’s best to own prime assets. They grow first and further - because growth is a % of a larger number)   What’s happening now? On average, 5% annual growth makes it one of the 5 slowest growing cities in the UK Many of those who are selling are moving out of the capital. “Almost half the agents in London surveyed by LonRes say that 10 per cent or more of their vendor clients intend to quit the capital once they sell their property” Rents are falling. “New tenants in the capital typically paying almost £100 a month less than their counterparts a year ago, according to Your Move”. Transactions are very low, and at an all-time low in 3 boroughs.   What have we learned from the London property market? Just because an area has performed best doesn’t mean it will continue to! This is why we’ve said to avoid London for the last few years - poor yields AND low growth Prime assets are more volatile - both grow and fall first and fastest. You can either use this to your advantage or stay out of the way! When you tax something you get less of it. SDLT has had a major effect on London transactions Property isn’t immune to market forces. Rents and prices can’t grow ahead of incomes forever. Affordability in London is ridiculously stretched, so if it stagnates (real terms fall) and we see wage growth, affordability can come under control without a major correction Want to take a further look at all the data? We got a lot of our information from the following links: This Hometrack study  that splits London property into deciles by price  This report  on how London vendors are leaving the Capital. This article in The Guardian that talks about rents falling in London.  This article which discusses transaction volumes in London.   News story of the week: New BTL mortgage options for ex-pats. We've heard quite a bit about Vida in the past few weeks, and their proposition seems to be pretty good. If you're an ex-pat investor, you may want to check them out. Read more here. Resource of the week Make your clipboard work harder! This keeps your clipboard history which is a huge time saver. Check out Jumpcut for Mac, Clipboard History 2 for Chrome, or this option for Windows.  If you enjoyed The Property Podcast, please leave a review on iTunes Reviews are really important in helping other people to find the show, so by way of thanks we read out every single review we receive on air. If you’d like to hear your name on the show, leave us a review on iTunes here. Not sure how to leave a review? This video shows you how to review and subscribe on iTunes. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

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0:00.0

At dinner parties up and down the land people love to discuss property and especially so in London and the London property market.

0:08.4

So this week we're giving it the attention it deserves in episode two-two- Property Podcast, looking at what's happening to the London Property

0:16.4

Market.

0:17.4

Yes, welcome to the podcast, if you don't know know by now. I am Rob D, he is Rob B. We are talking

0:26.6

about what's happening to the London property market and it's really interesting.

0:29.7

You've seen headlines about this, you'll see more headlines about this in the year or two to come, I would say,

0:36.3

but we've dug through the data to really find out what's going on,

0:40.0

so at your next dinner party you can have an intelligent point of view and of course you can make the right investments.

0:45.0

Don't know which is most important. They're both important.

0:47.0

Oh, it's definitely to get one up on your friends, Rob. Let's be honest.

0:50.0

Profits good, but knowing more than your friends is always that a little bit more satisfying.

0:56.0

You can't put a price on that.

0:58.0

So yes that's coming up we've got a great resource of the week for you as well but let's kick it off as is traditional with a news story and a good

1:05.8

news story this week for expats. So we have a lot of overseas listeners, lots of expats in the Middle East, Hong Kong, Australia, all kinds of places,

1:15.0

all interested in investing in property in the UK and all really struggling with mortgage options.

1:20.9

There are mortgages for expats, but it is a restricted selection and the story

1:25.2

this week is that that range has got a little bit less restricted. A new lender, Vida Home Loans, has come into the

1:31.5

expat by to let market.

1:34.0

And it looks pretty competitive.

1:35.4

So you can get a loan to value of up to 75%.

1:39.0

You can get a maximum loan of a million quid, and you get rates from 3.89%. So this is definitely

1:46.6

good news for expats. Hopefully it's the first and more to come and rub I think hopefully

...

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