TIVP044: Salesforce (CRM): Agentforce or AI-Native? w/ Daniel Mahncke & Shawn O’Malley
The Intrinsic Value Podcast - The Investor’s Podcast Network
The Investor's Podcast Network
4.6 • 592 Ratings
🗓️ 2 November 2025
⏱️ 79 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | The prevailing narrative is that software companies will be killed by AI. |
| 0:04.0 | But Salesforce is not only deeply embedded in tens of thousands of the largest companies in the world, |
| 0:10.0 | is also the first mover in the AI agents space. |
| 0:13.0 | The situation reminds me a lot of Adobe, where you've had the stock that just gets continually punished, |
| 0:19.0 | despite having very solid fundamental financial performance |
| 0:22.1 | because the market prefers to bet on the potential and excitement of AI rather than looking at |
| 0:28.1 | actual cash flows. Well, at least it's a good hunting ground for us. I mean, Salesforce trades |
| 0:33.0 | at its lowest multiple in many, many years while doubling down on free cash flow and margins. |
| 0:38.3 | But there are some yellow flags as well and despite great performance in the past, I think |
| 0:43.0 | the CEO is one of them and that's what we will discuss today. |
| 0:51.4 | You're listening to the Intrinsic Value podcast by the Investors Podcast Network. |
| 0:55.6 | Since 2014, with over 180 million downloads, we've learned directly from the world's best investors. |
| 1:02.7 | Now, we're applying those lessons to analyze businesses and investment opportunities every week, |
| 1:08.8 | helping you uncover intrinsic value. |
| 1:11.6 | And now, here are your hosts, Sean O'Malley and Daniel Monker. |
| 1:21.8 | Today's episode is about a company that has seen quite the roller coaster ride in the last few years since the pandemic in 2020. The stock has had five declines of over 20%. With the biggest one coming in 2022 and the stock more than halved, but there's another big one going on right now. I'm talking about Salesforce. Year to date, the stock is down over 25%. And in your |
| 1:46.4 | hints last week, Daniel, you joke that we tend to buy companies that are high quality, but for one |
| 1:50.7 | reason or another, we find ourselves looking at companies that are maybe on the top 10 list of |
| 1:54.8 | worst performers for the S&P 500 when we actually initiate a position in them. And Salesforce isn't doing quite that badly |
| 2:02.3 | right now, but it is getting close. And Lulu and Adobe are some other examples of companies that |
| 2:07.2 | we think are really high quality, but have definitely been being down of late. Yeah, it's not that |
| 2:11.9 | easy to stay rational and unbiased when we research a company that's down 25 or more percent. And as you know, |
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