Thursday October 27th, 2022 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 27 October 2022
⏱️ 12 minutes
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Summary
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everyone, the simple handicap for Thursday, October 27th. Thank you for making me a part of your morning. |
| 0:08.8 | NFL week eight kicks off tonight with the Baltimore Ravens on the road to Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
| 0:14.6 | And it's been interesting movement in the last 24 hours to say the least. |
| 0:19.1 | A surprise to me at least, I think a lot of other people as well, that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 0:26.6 | despite the lineup of injuries that they are dealing with, especially on the defensive |
| 0:32.2 | side of the football within the secondary, got that pretty heavily yesterday. |
| 0:37.2 | This was a number that that depending where you were looking |
| 0:40.5 | but specifically at chris was two and a half and actually trending towards the three for |
| 0:46.5 | baltimore has come back the other way now a one point favorite this morning on the buccaneers at |
| 0:51.8 | crisp one and a half at Fandwell and Circa, |
| 0:54.6 | and other books trending slightly higher as well. But it was a very real move on the Tampa Bay |
| 1:00.0 | Buccaneers. And friend of the show and friend of mine, Tom, the hitman, had a tweet yesterday |
| 1:06.8 | that I thought was interesting to, as he referenced, bet MGM, I believe was the sports book |
| 1:12.1 | in particular, but there was a tweet implying how X percent was on the Buccaneers and such and |
| 1:19.8 | such a percent was on the Ravens, trying to imply that there was this reverse line movement |
| 1:23.5 | that everyone likes to talk about at that sports book specifically. And it omitted the fact that this move was simply a big bet and a big order that went in |
| 1:32.0 | that moved in on the Buccaneers and all the other sports books in the market where the bet was |
| 1:36.5 | not put into or did not originate from just copied the line and moved. |
| 1:41.6 | And so yes, it's going to be very clear which is the more popular side in this game, |
| 1:45.3 | but in terms of the line movement, it was caused by one group of people that bet it into a number |
| 1:50.5 | of different sports books and everyone else within the market copied it. And so we're probably |
| 1:54.8 | going to see a lot more of that posted around tonight, especially as we get closer to kickoff |
... |
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