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The Dividend Cafe

Thursday - May 22, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Dividend Growth Investing, Investing, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Wealth Management, Business, Retirement Planning, Macro Economics

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 22 May 2025

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Market Updates and Economic Perspectives: May 22nd Edition

In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host Brian Szytel provides a market update for May 22nd, recording shortly before market close. He discusses the positive market movements with the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq all up, and explains the decline in interest rates following a poorly received 20-year auction. Brian sheds light on the recent reconciliation tax bill progress in the House of Representatives, highlighting the SALT deduction cap increase and other tweaks. He addresses misconceptions around treasury auctions and stresses historical treasury rate averages. The episode also examines the US debt situation, potential economic solutions, and the strong labor market evidenced by better-than-expected jobless claims. Brian concludes by honoring Memorial Day and welcoming audience questions.

00:00 Introduction and Market Update

00:51 Tax Bill and Legislative Updates

01:31 Treasury Auction Insights

03:09 Debt and Economic Strategies

06:11 Memorial Day Tribute and Economic News

07:38 Conclusion and Farewell

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.0

Welcome to Dividend Cafe this Thursday, May the 22nd. Brian Saitel with you here today on some regain of ground we lost yesterday here in a nut market.

0:23.7

Now I'm recording this about 20 minutes here before the close.

0:27.2

I've got a eighth grade graduation to get to here for my daughter, Sophie.

0:31.4

So I'm very proud of her.

0:33.1

But in the meantime, markets were up, and I wanted to get this out to you all here because

0:38.3

I don't think things will change a whole lot here in about 15 minutes.

0:41.9

But that said, Dow was up about 200, a little over 200 points, S&P was up about half of

0:46.4

a percent, NASDAQ was up almost 1 percent.

0:49.5

And rates moved lower.

0:50.5

Again, yesterday there was a big backup in interest rates on a 20-year auction that went

0:55.0

quote-unquote poorly, and I'll talk about that in a second. But rates came back in today. Ten-year

0:59.8

was down four basis points. We're at 454. So there you have it. There was a reconciliation tax bill

1:06.7

that went through the House of Representatives, and there was a couple of updates and concessions made

1:12.2

to get it through the house, which has a very slim majority. But the salt deduction cap was raised

1:17.0

from $10,000 to $40,000. There is an income phase out at $500,000 jointly filing that's in there,

1:24.1

but it's an increase there nonetheless, And then you had some small tweaks on Medicaid

1:29.9

dates and some IRA tax credits and things. But it's off to the Senate now. So this is still very

1:34.9

early innings because the process really is now just getting started here on this big, beautiful

1:40.2

bill, as they call it. But at least there's some progress being made. There you have it there. And then going back to what I said about the 20-year auction yesterday, I just want to

1:48.4

put things in perspective here a little bit. When the headlines say that it was a terrible

1:53.2

auction or it was awful and all these things, I want to keep some things in minds. Number one,

...

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