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The Dividend Cafe

Thursday - February 5, 2026

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Macro Economics, Investing, Monetary Policy, Business, Wealth Management, Dividend Growth Investing, Estate Planning, Retirement Planning

4.9569 Ratings

🗓️ 5 February 2026

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides a market update from West Palm Beach, Florida, on a down day for major indices including the DOW, S&P, and Nasdaq. He discusses stronger-than-expected growth numbers, employment data disappointments, and sector rotations, particularly in tech and value stocks. Other key points include Bitcoin's significant decline, a shift in interest rates, and the impact of AI on software services and asset managers. Szytel notes that despite some negative sentiment, there is still value to be found in the market.

00:00 Market Overview and Indices Performance

00:34 Economic Indicators and Market Reactions

01:13 Employment Numbers and Market Impact

02:47 Sector Analysis: Software and AI

03:17 Asset Managers and Credit Markets

05:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.1

Welcome to Dividend Cafe this Thursday, February 5th, Brian Saitel with you from our West Palm Beach, Florida office, here on a down day.

0:21.7

I'm actually sending this to you a few minutes here before the close, but most of the broad indices, the Dow, the S&P,

0:26.9

and the NASDAQ are all down more than 1%. So it's a little bit more broad based. There's still

0:31.4

some rotation where tech is selling off a little bit more than some of the other components

0:35.7

of the market, particularly the Dow. The S&P on the

0:38.9

year now is negative slightly. Dow is actually still positive by about 2% after the first month of the year.

0:45.0

But the narrative changed a little bit today. You actually had stronger than expected growth numbers.

0:49.4

Remember, we had Warsh get nominated by the Trump administration and And markets actually reacted fairly positive from that news.

0:56.0

But then you had a positive PMI, a positive ISM services, positive ISM manufacturing.

1:00.9

Those are all good growth numbers.

1:02.8

And you just had this rotation going out in markets.

1:04.7

There was trading kind of weird, really.

1:06.4

You had these value names really performed not just well, but really well.

1:10.2

And then more the overvalued and the higher flying momentum stuff has just really sold off. Bitcoin is down 40 plus percent from its highs. Gold is pulled back, silver. So it's an interesting dynamic now. But today you had a shift in some of the vibe, I guess I would call it in the market. You had employment numbers start to really

1:28.3

somewhat consistently across a few different mediums disappoint. You had ADP private payrolls

1:34.6

yesterday disappoint. We got 22 out of instead of 45,000 for the month. So there was that. But then

1:40.3

today, you had the jobless claims numbers missed. You had 231,000.

1:45.4

We were expecting closer to call it the low 200s, 209, 211.

1:49.8

And so that was a bit of a disappointment, although those are weekly numbers.

1:53.0

And so they can be somewhat up and down, volatile.

1:55.7

But then you had this new job openings number, the joltz number that we often reference significantly underperform.

...

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