This may be the best time to pick stocks
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 29 April 2024
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show Notes
With rate cuts pushed out, Goldman looks at quality stocks
Tesla's 'watershed' moment in China helps lift Chinese electric vehicle stocks
Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch. Our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis. |
| 0:10.0 | Good afternoon. Today is Monday, April 29th,'m your host Kim Khan. Our top story so far. |
| 0:16.0 | Is this the perfect environment for picking stocks? |
| 0:19.0 | While it may seem like Central Banks, geopolitics, and other macro factors are driving market performance, |
| 0:24.4 | Morgan Stanley says price action tells a different story. |
| 0:27.6 | For all the sound and fury coming from the macro, |
| 0:30.4 | 2024 remains an unusually micro market, |
| 0:33.0 | strategist Andrew Sheets says, |
| 0:35.0 | and the dispersion seen in single stocks |
| 0:37.0 | is ideal for stock picking. |
| 0:39.0 | Morgan Stanley's prime brokerage strategic content group |
| 0:41.0 | said the first quarter of 2024 was the best first quarter for Equity Long Short |
| 0:45.6 | Alpha since 2010 when the data begins. |
| 0:49.3 | Even more notable, the Alpha is coming from both longs and shorts across US, Europe, and Asia. |
| 0:55.0 | Sheets added, stocks and credit are moving more with the macro on a day-to-day basis, |
| 1:00.0 | but 2024 is clearly showing that other forces are at work. |
| 1:04.0 | The average correlation between individual stocks is historically low. |
| 1:07.7 | That's the opposite of a high correlation world you'd expect |
| 1:10.6 | if macro factors were in the driver's seat. Under the surface, this is a market that is a micro machine. |
| 1:16.2 | The dispersion has practical implications. For active investors, an ideal stock picking environment is one with enough dispersion to create opportunity, |
| 1:25.0 | but not so much volatility that it's difficult to take risk. |
| 1:28.0 | This seems like a fitting description of the current backdrop, he argued. |
... |
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