This Is What Needs To Happen for Oil Prices to Finally Come Down
Odd Lots
Bloomberg
4.5 • 2K Ratings
🗓️ 21 February 2022
⏱️ 57 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The price of oil has surged over the last year, and U.S. oil companies are making money hand over first. In theory, the high prices should stabilize as more drilling is done. But so far, the supply response has only been modest. After years in which U.S. oil companies (shale players, in particular) lit money on fire by expanding production at all costs, the industry is reluctant to invest in new production. So what will it take? On this episode, we speak with Rory Johnston, Managing Director and Market Economist at Price Street and the author of the Commodity Context newsletter, to get a better understanding of the factors moving oil prices, and what it will take to bring them down.
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| 0:00.0 | Adlots is brought to you by Apollo. When it comes to building and financing stronger businesses, |
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| 0:30.4 | Hello and welcome to another episode of the Adlots podcast. I'm Joe Weisenthal. |
| 0:59.3 | And I'm Tracy Alloway. Tracy, you know, it was really crazy. |
| 1:06.8 | You're going to have to narrow that down a little bit, but what, what is really crazy? |
| 1:10.6 | Do you remember the day when oil went to negative $40 a barrel? |
| 1:14.3 | Oh, yeah. It feels like absolute ages ago, because I guess it was, I guess it was in April 2020. |
| 1:22.7 | And I do remember partly because a bunch of people started tweeting at me about whether or not |
| 1:26.5 | they should buy oil and like store it under their bed or in their basements or something. |
| 1:31.6 | All right. I guess because you're the only person anyone knows who has ever actually acquired |
| 1:37.2 | physical oil. For listeners who don't know, Tracy had it next to me on her desk, a bottle of oil. |
| 1:43.1 | And apparently it wasn't good to get into that. Yeah, a bottle of extremely toxic oil. |
| 1:49.1 | So the short answer is had you bought oil in April 2020, you probably would be doing reasonably |
| 1:55.6 | well right now because oil prices have gone absolutely bonkers. But that said, storing oil is a big hassle |
| 2:02.8 | and I wouldn't recommend it to anyone. But yeah, it is kind of crazy how we've swung from people |
| 2:11.0 | wanting so little oil that, you know, they're actually almost paying people to take it off their |
| 2:17.0 | hands to now people seemingly cannot getting enough of it. That was so insane. It's actually the |
| 2:23.1 | more I think about it, the more crazy that time was. But exactly right, you know, there's only so |
| 2:28.4 | much oil storage capacity. And if demand just essentially goes to zero in a matter of weeks, |
| 2:35.5 | then suddenly you might have a situation where people are paying it. I don't think anyone like really, |
| 2:40.0 | I don't think very many players actually were able to acquire oil that cheap. Maybe a few trades |
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