This bond market rally is epic
FT News Briefing
Forhecz Topher
4.4 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 21 December 2023
⏱️ 13 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
A global rally in government debt has driven yields past many Wall Street targets for the end of 2024, and rising premiums in China are driving families to cancel health coverage. Plus, in the second of a three-part series, the FT’s Benjamin Parkin travels to southern India to see whether factories can help solve the country’s employment problems.
Mentioned in this podcast:
Bond market rally drives yields past Wall Street’s end-2024 targets
Millions drop out of China’s state health insurance system
The FT News Briefing is produced by Fiona Symon, Sonja Hutson, Kasia Broussalian and Marc Filippino. Additional help by Sam Giovinco, Peter Barber, Michael Lello, David da Silva, Gavin Kallmann and Joanna Kao. Our engineer is Monica Lopez. Topher Forhecz is the FT’s executive producer. The FT’s global head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. The show’s theme song is by Metaphor Music.
Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The UK's energy partner. |
| 0:06.0 | Learn more at equinore. |
| 0:10.0 | Good morning from the Financial Times. Today is Thursday December 21st and this is your |
| 0:18.1 | F-T news briefing. A global rally in government debt is surpassing everyone's expectations. |
| 0:26.0 | And people in China are opting out of the country's state health insurance system. |
| 0:31.0 | Plus, we look at whether factories can help employ India's massive population. |
| 0:37.0 | Unlike its neighbors China or Bangladesh, |
| 0:40.0 | India is not known as the factory for the world, but it's hoping to become one. |
| 0:45.0 | I'm Joanna Gao, in for Mark Filipino, and here's the news you need to start your day. The Bond market is in the middle of an epic rally. |
| 1:05.0 | Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields fell below 4% on Wednesday |
| 1:10.0 | and have dropped by almost a full percentage point since the end of October. |
| 1:14.0 | Now, remember with the bond market as yields fall, prices go up. |
| 1:19.0 | The rally blows past what major banks had forecast yields to be by the end of 2024. |
| 1:25.4 | That's more than a year early. |
| 1:28.5 | Investors have been super optimistic ever since the Federal Reserve signaled it might start cutting interest rates sometime next year. |
| 1:35.4 | Swaps markets are now pricing in six interest rate cuts from the U.S. Central Bank in 2024. |
| 1:41.1 | At the end of October, the expectation was just three. |
| 1:45.0 | An unprecedented number of people are foregoing health care coverage in China. |
| 1:55.0 | Millions have dropped out of the state health insurance system in the past year, |
| 2:00.0 | and enrollment could fall even further this year. That could have some pretty |
| 2:04.4 | significant consequences for the world's second largest economy. The F.T.'s Sun U |
| 2:09.7 | has been following the issue and joins me now. Hello? |
... |
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