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On The Market

These High-Inventory Markets Could “Swing Up” in the Next Cycle

On The Market

BiggerPockets

Investing, Education, Business, News

4.8859 Ratings

🗓️ 14 April 2026

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Could today’s weak housing markets become tomorrow’s winners? One particular real estate demand “cycle” says that it’s more than possible. Everyone has written off real estate markets where inventory has risen, prices have dropped (substantially), and migration has slowed. But what happens when the pendulum swings in the other direction, and these dead markets return to life? ResiClub’s Lance Lambert joins us to get into all things supply, demand, and most importantly—inventory. According to Lance, we’re in the 25th percentile for weak housing markets, and one certain variable could increase our risk significantly, and it’s not getting much better. A “catalyst for risk” could push demand down even more, stunting already suffering housing markets. But there is hope.  Domestic and international migration surged post-pandemic but has come to a standstill in the past few years. When this migration “cycle” restarts, certain states, especially those with the weakest housing markets right now, could benefit. And if mortgage rates lower again, breaking more of the “lock-in effect,” the market could change quickly. But which markets could “swing up” the fastest?  In This Episode We Cover A real “catalyst for risk” that could cause an even weaker housing market  The states that could see the biggest boosts once domestic and international migration return  Investors: This is a sign that you should make an aggressive offer on a property  Good news for interest rates? A “considerable improvement” in this key metric  Why inventory is stabilizing in the hardest hit housing markets  And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn't as Safe From Inflation as You Think ResiClub Lance’s LinkedIn Lance’s X  Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-416. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Inventory, the all-important metric that we are always tracking and always watching isn't

0:12.2

anymore moving in just one direction nationwide. In some markets, listings are rebuilding

0:18.7

and buyers are having more leverage.

0:21.9

While in other markets, inventory is still tight and in some, it's actually going down.

0:27.3

And that regional split is shaping everything, affordability, negotiating power,

0:32.1

and where investors can still find opportunity.

0:35.8

I'm Dave Meyer, and today I am joined by Lance Lambert to break

0:39.4

down the latest regional inventory trends, why they're happening, what outcomes they tend to

0:44.4

produce, and what it means for the national housing market as we look ahead. We'll talk about the

0:49.2

drivers, the markets to watch, how this shows up in prices and sales and Lance's predictions for the next

0:55.7

phase of this cycle. This is on the market. Let's get into it. Lance, welcome back to On the

1:01.8

Market. Thanks for joining us again. Housing, housing, housing, always so much going on. And thank you

1:07.2

for having me again. Of course. You've, man, you've been on a lot of times.

1:11.3

But I think maybe just for anyone who's new here, maybe just give us a little background,

1:15.6

who you are and what you do.

1:17.0

Yeah, long time financial and data journalist had worked at places like Bloomberg,

1:21.8

Realtor.com, and then I was the real estate editor for four years over at Fortune

1:27.2

Magazine before leaving to start Resi Club.

1:30.3

And Resi Club is a news and research outlet that is focused on the U.S. housing market.

1:35.9

So a lot of our audience and clients are home builders, developers, single family investors and operators.

1:43.4

And then a lot of mortgage and lenders who lend to single

1:46.4

family or to lend to home building. And really just trying to figure out at any given time,

...

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