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Cato Podcast

There Is No Such Thing as a Wage-Price Spiral

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 2 April 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The wage-price spiral is a popular explanation for why a temporary inflation might persist or even accelerate. Economist Bryan Cutsinger says the wage-price spiral narrative is unsupported by the empirical evidence.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Tuesday, April 2nd, 2024.

0:07.0

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:08.0

In the forthcoming Cato Book The War on Prices, economist Brian Cutt singer sticks up for unions in a sense that is to say the

0:15.0

notion of the wage price spiral driven in part by union power is hard to

0:20.5

square with reality we spoke last month in Dallas.

0:24.0

What is the conventional view of the wage price spiral?

0:29.1

And first of all, why does that have such currency?

0:31.3

So the conventional view is going to be that labor unions or some

0:35.2

other institution with market power in the labor market is able to negotiate for higher

0:40.4

wages or wages above the competitive level.

0:43.2

And what's gonna end up happening then

0:44.6

is firms are gonna pass along part of their higher labor cost

0:48.3

to consumers in the form of higher output prices.

0:51.1

Of course, then the labor unions are going to want to negotiate for a higher

0:53.7

wage because the additional purchasing power they just got from the higher

0:57.1

wage has now been eroded by the fact that the prices of the goods and services they

1:00.7

consumer now hire. So they go back to the employers again.

1:03.8

They negotiate for a higher wage.

1:06.0

This pushes output price is higher.

1:07.7

Then they go back and again, that's where the moniker comes from

1:10.8

of the wage price spiral is wages go up then prices go up then wages go up and

1:14.9

allegedly is going to spiral out of control and I think the reason that it gets

...

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