The wipe out scenario haunting the Conservatives
The Story
The Times
3.9 • 1.6K Ratings
🗓️ 20 June 2024
⏱️ 33 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
In 1993 the Canadian Conservative party went into the election in power but lost all but two of its seats. A party called Reform came to dominate right wing politics, and went on to merge with the Conservatives. Could the same be about to happen in the UK?
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Guests: -Wayne Hunt, Professor of Politics and International Relations, Mount Allison University in Canada, and,
-Danny Finkelstein, columnist, The Times.
Host: Luke Jones.
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Transcript
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| 1:31.0 | From the Times and the Sunday Times this is the story. I'm Luke Jones. |
| 1:39.0 | Professor Sir John Curtis isn't one for exaggeration, but with a lifetime of poll watching under his belt. |
| 1:44.8 | He's looked at the latest crop in this campaign and says in terms of vote share |
| 1:49.2 | this could be the worst Tory result since the end of the First World War. |
| 1:55.0 | The worst performance since the advent of the mass franchise by a country mile. |
| 2:00.0 | Not even the more uncommon poll suggests they're going to quite reach that lowest |
| 2:04.7 | ever number of seats in the House of Commons which is 156 all the way back in 1906. |
| 2:11.5 | Now the polls vary in prognosis and severity, but a small rump of a party is on the |
| 2:16.8 | cards, decapitated ministers look likely. |
| 2:20.0 | It's possible to win the election. Do I accept it's not the most likely outcome? |
| 2:25.0 | I accept that I'm a realist. |
... |
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