4.4 • 3K Ratings
🗓️ 2 August 2024
⏱️ 57 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to the dispatch podcast. I'm Sarah Isger and whoa! Yeah, we have Jonah Goldberg, whatever, but we have Chris Steyrwald, we have Megan McCardall. I mean, this is the time to be alive. |
0:14.3 | Not since Jefferson Podcast it alone. Stairwolf, let's start where we have to start. |
0:37.0 | Kamala Harris has had a very good two weeks. |
0:42.0 | Donald Trump has had a very bad two weeks, |
0:44.4 | but how much of this should I be thinking of as, |
0:46.8 | you know, almost a reversion to the mean, right? |
0:49.1 | Donald Trump had a very good three weeks. |
0:50.8 | Now he's having a bad two weeks sure Kamala Harris is exceeding my |
0:55.4 | expectations for these two weeks but that too will probably come back down to |
0:59.7 | earth she hasn't yet done any interviews she hasn hasn't made a mistake. She will make a mistake and we haven't seen how the campaign will be able to handle that. |
1:08.0 | What are you expecting looking for |
1:15.0 | Democrats, Democrats, etc. Well, I guess it's better for Democrats than a |
1:19.5 | reversion to the mean. |
1:21.0 | At the, after one week so we're blessed right now because we have |
1:27.1 | lots of polling because all the high quality pollsters everybody's going |
1:30.6 | back in the field because the race is reset so atypically we have a lot of |
1:38.4 | contemporaneous poles from a lot of good pollsters. And the answer initially was, oh, it's back to where it was, which is |
1:49.2 | basically a tie race with a slight advantage for Donald Trump by a half a point or whatever in an |
1:55.4 | average of good polls. |
1:57.1 | And of course as we know a Democrat has to win the national popular vote by more than three |
2:01.0 | points in order to win the Electoral College because of the |
2:06.2 | electoral college, of those seven states. |
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