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CONFLICTED

The UAE’s OPEC Withdrawal & Trump’s Wartime Dilemma

CONFLICTED

Message Heard

History, Religion & Spirituality

4.71.5K Ratings

🗓️ 20 May 2026

⏱️ 66 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Aimen is back with a huge amount of behind-the-scenes information on what’s been happening in the Middle East in the past three weeks—especially on the real reasons the UAE withdrew from OPEC, and what’s been going on inside Donald Trump’s head as he tries to chart a course to victory in the Iran War. Aimen and Thomas discuss: The recent discovery of HUGE shale oil reserves in the UAE The Mar-a-Lago deal the UAE struck with Trump Why the recent OPEC shake-up had NOTHING to do with Saudi Arabia The truth about UAE and Saudi attacks on Iran Did the UAE, Saudi, and Qatar really beg Trump not to resume the war? How Iran’s military capability remains STRONGER than people think The corruption behind Pakistan’s mediation efforts in the Iran War The benefits and liability of Trump as a War Leader Join the Conflicted Community here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://conflicted.supportingcast.fm/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Find us on X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/MHconflicted⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ And Facebook: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/MHconflicted⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ And Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/conflictedpod⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Conflicted is a Message Heard production. Executive Producers: Jake Warren & Max Warren. Produced and edited by Thomas Small. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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From startups to scaleups, online, in person and on the go. Shopify is made for entrepreneurs like you. Sign up for your $1 a month trial at Shopify.com slash setup. Hello, dear listeners. Welcome back to Conflicted. Amundeen, you're back. There you are. You've been away for a couple of weeks. How are you doing? I'm fine. Thank you so much. I've been very busy with so many things, both personal and professional.

0:42.3

But I am back. And the Oracle of Arabia is coming with lots of exclusive information here on Conflictors.

0:51.3

That's good. I know that we were all champing at the bit, really, to see what you have to say about the latest developments in the Middle East and elsewhere.

1:00.9

For the last, what is it now?

1:02.5

100 days.

1:03.3

I don't know.

1:03.6

How many days has it been since the 28th of February?

1:06.0

Almost 100 days?

1:07.3

Oh, 90 days, I would say.

1:08.6

90 days.

1:09.2

For the last 90 days, we've all been driven mad by the maelstrom of events, the

1:13.7

difficulty of sort of forecasting even one day away, given how unpredictable certain parties

1:23.3

are in the conflict. And yet still, we always value your insights.

1:28.4

Do you want to just, before we head to the theme music, you want to give us a headline?

1:32.1

Well, we'll be talking about OPEC and why the UAE exited OPEC.

1:37.3

And it's not what you think.

1:39.0

That's the first thing I must say.

1:40.6

And the second thing is, we'll be talking about how Trump is driving everyone mad, including his own allies, with his whiplash-inducing mood swings when it comes to what to do with Iran.

1:54.6

And, you know, ironically, he might be doing a lot of damage himself, you know, more than what the Iranians are doing

...

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