The Truth About Retirement Success (Stocks vs. Diversification)
Money Guy Show
Brian Preston, CPA, CFP®, PFS and Bo Hanson, CFA, CFP® | Fee-Only Fiduciary Advisors
4.7 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 14 February 2024
⏱️ 27 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Retirement Success Stocks versus diversification. Brent I am so excited because we love that we can answer your questions. We love that we can |
| 0:16.4 | load you guys up with financial information. We sit around as a content team trying to put |
| 0:20.8 | together topics that we think might be viable to you, but we also |
| 0:24.5 | love that we can answer your questions, that we can speak to the things that you're most curious |
| 0:30.1 | about. |
| 0:31.1 | So right now we have the team out in the wings collecting your questions and we want to load you up |
| 0:36.2 | So with that creative director Rebe I'm gonna throw it over to you. Yeah so speaking of retirement success we're kicking it off with a question from Mark on just that. |
| 0:44.5 | He says, I use the historical simulations of retirement that you've mentioned. |
| 0:49.0 | And 100% stocks always had better quote unquote success rates than diversifying into cash and |
| 0:55.7 | bonds. If that's true, why is diversification safer? |
| 1:01.8 | Yeah, you know, Marry, this is an interesting question. |
| 1:04.0 | We get this a lot. |
| 1:05.0 | So if you've played with any sort of like historical simulations, Monte Carlo analysis, |
| 1:11.0 | or even if you look at like the Trinity study, a lot of times it will show that all equity portfolios have higher probability success or higher return metrics than diversified portfolios. |
| 1:22.0 | And so the question is, why then do we diversify it? |
| 1:25.8 | Brian, and I think there's a, I think there are a few reasons. |
| 1:28.8 | The first is pretty obvious and pretty intuitive. |
| 1:32.3 | We believe that past performance does not |
| 1:35.4 | significant does not suggest future results, right? So because equities have |
| 1:41.1 | always been the top performing asset class, |
| 1:43.5 | and most people when they do this, |
| 1:45.2 | they use a singular asset class. |
... |
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