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Conversations with Coleman

The Tides of American Politics with David Shor (Ep.19)

Conversations with Coleman

The Free Press

Philosophy, Society & Culture

4.82K Ratings

🗓️ 3 December 2020

⏱️ 73 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A special thank you to Ground News for supporting this week's episode. Download the Ground News app for free at https://check.ground.news/ColemanHughes to join the fight against media bias For exclusive member-only content become a CwC subscriber via https://colemanhughes.org/ Today’s guest is David Shor, a political data scientist. David worked for the Obama campaign and was described in New York Magazine as “Obama’s in-house Nate Silver”. You may know David’s name because he was fired in June, over a tweet that was widely viewed as innocent. The tweet cited research showing that riots, unlike non-violent protests, tend to move voters to the right. Although Coleman wanted to talk to David about the circumstances of his firing, due to legal reasons, David can’t talk about it publicly. This episode focuses on the basics of polling and why the polls under predicted Trump’s performance in both 2016 and 2020. Coleman also talked about David’s skepticism of the so-called ‘Shy Trump Voter Effect’, the problem of non-response bias, and what to make of the growing cultural divide between college-educated and non-college-educated voters. Coleman had a very productive disagreement about the so-called racial resentment scales, used as a tool to understand why people voted for Trump and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:30.1

Hip hop is always called out to inequalities in America.

0:33.1

But even within it, nothing's ever been equal.

0:35.6

This season, a lot of the Nariah podcast is tackling sexism, homophobia,

0:40.5

and all the unwritten rules that hold the entire culture back.

0:44.1

Listen to the louder the Nariah podcast from MMPR music or wherever you get your podcasts.

1:00.0

Welcome to another episode of Conversations with Coleman.

1:23.0

If you're hearing this, then you're on the public feed,

1:25.3

which means you get access to episodes one week late,

1:28.3

and that you'll hear advertisements.

1:30.3

You can become a supporter at ColemanHews.org and gain access to the private feed,

1:35.2

which has no ads, gives you access to episodes one week early,

1:39.5

and gives you an extra podcast episode every month.

1:43.0

If you want access to the private feed but can't afford it,

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