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Sinica Podcast

The Texas Paradox: How the Most Anti-China State Is Building America's China Capacity

Sinica Podcast

Kaiser Kuo

Currentaffairs, Business, News, China Politics, Shenzhen, Chinese, Chongqing, China News, Politics, China, Culture, Sichuan, Hangzhou, Beijing, International Relations, China Economy, Chengdu, Film, Shanghai, Guangzhou

4.7 β€’ 710 Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 3 June 2026

⏱️ 102 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The summit in Beijing produced a "constructive strategic stability" framework and a warming of tone between the two presidents. But heads of state can announce a multi-year horizon; somebody else has to operationalize it. Does the United States have the people β€” the linguists, the regional experts, the long-haul institution-builders β€” to do that work?

This week, I chatted with two Texans answering that question from very different directions. David Firestein is the inaugural president and CEO of the George H.W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations in Houston. A career State Department officer who served four administrations and spent five years in Beijing, he's one of the few Americans concurrently affiliated with both a Republican and a Democratic presidential legacy institution. Eddie Conger is a retired Marine major and the founder and superintendent of International Leadership of Texas (IL Texas) β€” a public charter network of 26 campuses serving 26,000 K-12 students and now the largest K-12 Chinese language program in the country. In January, IL Texas became the first-ever K-12 recipient of the Bush China Foundation's George H.W. Bush Award for Educational Excellence in U.S.-China Relations, joining past honorees including Jimmy Carter and Henry Kissinger.

The conversation tackles what David calls the Texas paradox: the same state that just forced its cities to dissolve their sister-city ties with China, that pioneered the closure of Confucius Institutes, and that has restricted Chinese land purchases is also where the country's deepest K-12 Mandarin pipeline is taking root β€” and where the most institutionally Texan China foundation has chosen to plant its flag. David and Eddie talk through engagement honestly (no straw-man Jeffersonian-democracy fantasies), the erroneous strategic assumptions undergirding U.S. China policy, what real national-language capacity would look like operationally, what they each saw in the Trump–Xi summit, and what 5,000 IL Texas graduates are already doing in the world.

  • 05:40 β€” Eddie's path: Marine infantryman to fifth-grade math teacher to the country's largest K-12 Mandarin program
  • 09:12 β€” David on when the Nixon-through-Obama engagement consensus broke (fall 2017) and how the lexicon shifted
  • 13:30 β€” Engagement honestly defined: what its architects actually believed vs. the Jeffersonian-democracy straw man
  • 18:30 β€” The Texas paradox: HB 128, sister cities, Confucius Institutes β€” and the country's biggest Mandarin program in the same state
  • 31:26 β€” Texas business, Tim Dunn, faith, and the gap between political rhetoric and where Texans actually are
  • 41:54 β€” The Defense Department safety/security story: when one Chinese word ate an entire bilateral agreement
  • 46:16 β€” David's six (or seven) erroneous strategic assumptions: China doesn't want to be us, and it has benefited more than anyone from the current order
  • 52:28 β€” What real national-language capacity would actually look like: NSLI, WALARA, and why the pipeline still runs through one Marine major in Texas
  • 01:06:07 β€” Reading the Beijing summit: the warmth, the "constructive strategic stability" framing, and whether Trump's Taiwan call could blow it all up
  • 01:17:10 β€” Where 5,000 IL Texas graduates are now β€” White House interns, service academies, doctors, entrepreneurs, and one high-schooler who pulled a stranger out of the surf


Paying it Forward

Eddie:

Carlos Carrasco; Emily, who is heading to Taiwan this fall on a one-year high-school program; and another student bound for the University of Texas at Austin who will be sent to South Korea for a semester as a freshman β€” a rarity at UT. And he closes with Miles, a high-school senior and Marine scholarship recipient who, just weeks ago at a national competition in Florida, heard someone screaming for help in the ocean, called for a boogie board, and swam out to save a drowning swimmer while a crowd of adults stood on the beach. "Others before self," as Eddie puts it β€” the IL Texas mission statement made flesh.

David:

Frank Zhou, who just graduated from Harvard and chaired the Harvard College China Forum; Selina Gong, a recent graduate of the Harvard Kennedy School involved in its annual China conference; and Dean Dai, a recent graduate of Columbia's SIPA who has been deeply involved in many of the most significant student-run China conferences in the country β€” and who, as it turns out, was one of the organizers of the University of Chicago U.S.-China Economy and Business Summit where Kaiser spoke earlier this month.

Recommendations:

Eddie: John Pomfret, The Beautiful Country and the Middle Kingdom: America and China, 1776 to the Present (Henry Holt, 2016)

David: Stephen Roach, Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives (Yale, 2022)

Kaiser: David Grann, The Wager: A Tale of Shipwreck, Mutiny and Murder (Doubleday, 2023)

Also mentioned: Stephen R. Platt, The Raider: The Untold Story of a Renegade Marine and the Birth of U.S. Special Forces in World War II (Knopf, 2024)


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Cynica podcast, a weekly discussion of current affairs in China.

0:13.2

In this program, we look at books, ideas, new research, intellectual currents, and cultural trends

0:18.9

that can help us better understand what's happening in

0:21.4

China's politics, foreign relations, economics, and society. Join me each week for in-depth

0:27.7

conversations that shed more light and bring less heat to how we think and talk about China.

0:34.2

I'm Kaiser Guo coming to you this week from my nearly empty, soon to be on the market home in Chapel Hill, North Carolina.

0:39.8

I believe this is my penultimate taping here.

0:42.4

Got one more show to tape next week, and then I'm gonezo.

0:46.0

The House is gone.

0:48.3

Seneca is supported this year by the Center for East Asian Studies at the University of Wisconsin-Madison,

0:53.0

a National Resource Center for the Study of East Asia.

0:56.1

Listeners, please support my work by becoming a paying subscriber at Senecapodcast.com.

1:01.6

I do need your help to keep doing this work, so please do subscribe.

1:06.3

Here's a question that doesn't get asked nearly often enough in Washington.

1:27.7

Whatever the United States decides it wants from its relationship with China, to compete with it, to manage or even contain it, to strike deals with China, or some shifting combination of the above, does it actually have the people to do any of that well?

1:32.5

The institutions, the language capacity, the human infrastructure.

1:38.6

We talk endlessly about strategy toward China, about leverage and competition and red lines.

1:45.7

We talk much less about whether there is a deep enough bench of Americans who can actually read the room,

1:51.0

who can read the documents in the original, who can understand the strategic logic of Beijing on its own terms, and, you know, do the long, unblemorous, difficult work of dealing with

1:57.3

a country, whether you were cooperating with it or facing off against it.

2:01.0

The summit in Beijing a couple of weeks ago, whatever you make of its constructive strategic

2:05.4

stability framing, was a reminder of the stakes.

...

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