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Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

The Summer of Shortages - with Scott Lincicome

Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

Ark Media

Society, October 7, Hamas, War, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Israel, News Commentary, News, Politics, Elections, Palestine, Dan Senor, Government

4.82.3K Ratings

🗓️ 28 July 2022

⏱️ 60 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Air travel this summer seems broken. On some days, major airlines have been canceling 10 percent of their flights. In normal times, it’s something like one in a hundred that are canceled. How did this happen? Is there an explanation beyond just the obvious – which is the turbocharged rebound from the past two years of pandemic-induced turmoil in the airline industry? Today’s guest thinks there’s something else going on that the post-covid travel summer has simply revealed. It’s a structural problem that predated the pandemic, and he also sees similar forces at work in other industries, including the baby formula crisis. It’s the structural roots of crises of scarcity that we get at today, with Scott Lincicome. Scott is at the CATO Institute, a Washington think tank, where’s he’s the director of General Economics & Trade Policy Studies. He’s also a visiting lecturer at Duke University Law School, and spent two decades as a trade law negotiator, advising some of the largest multinationals. He also writes a Substack called “Capitolism”. And he’s with The Dispatch news & analysis site.

Transcript

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0:00.0

As you all probably know, air travel this summer is broken. On some days,

0:17.4

major airlines have been canceling 10% of their flights. You show up at the

0:20.9

airport, security lines lasting four or five, even six hours, but at least you're hoping that you're not booked on a flight that is among the one in ten flights cancelled.

0:31.0

Keep in mind in normal times,'s something like 1 and 100 that are

0:34.8

cancelled. So from 1% of flights cancelled in normal times to 10% now. Now how did

0:41.2

this happen? Is there an explanation beyond just the obvious?

0:45.0

Which is the turbocharged rebound from the past two years of pandemic-induced turmoil in the airline industry.

0:51.0

After 9-11 we saw a single-digit percentage decline in air travel in the year or so afterwards.

0:58.3

In 2020, during peak pandemic, the drop was north of 70 percent so consumer demand has come barreling back after the

1:05.8

entire industry was all but shut down. So of course there was going to be some

1:10.3

inevitable stress on the system but today's guest thinks that there's something

1:14.0

else going on that the post-Covid travel summer has revealed. It's a structural problem that

1:20.0

predated the pandemic, and he also sees similar forces at work

1:23.9

in other industries, including the baby formula crisis.

1:27.8

It's the structural roots of crises of scarcity

1:31.2

that we get at in today's conversation with Scott Linsacom.

1:34.3

Scott is at the Cato Institute of Washington Think Tank where he's the director of

1:38.6

general economics and trade policy studies. He's also a visiting lecturer at Duke University Law School and

1:44.8

spent two decades as a trade law negotiator advising some of the largest multinationals.

1:49.8

He also writes an indispensable sub-stack called capitalism

1:55.0

Capital with an O in the middle. We'll post it in the show notes.

1:59.0

I highly recommend that you subscribe to it.

...

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