4.8 • 615 Ratings
🗓️ 20 February 2025
⏱️ 25 minutes
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Judge Glock joins Jordan McGillis to discuss the history of 30-year mortgages and the future of the housing market in America.
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0:00.0 | Welcome to 10 blocks. I'm Jordan McGillis, economics editor of City Journal. In 2024, with average mortgage rates |
0:24.0 | hovering around 7%, and the average home price rising to over $400,000, U.S. home sales fell to the |
0:31.2 | lowest level, around $4 million, since 1995. And that's despite the national population having risen by 70 million people in that time. |
0:39.9 | To discuss the housing market, I'm joined today by Judge Glock. Judge is the Manhattan Institute's |
0:45.1 | director of research, and he's the author of The Dead Pledge, a 2021 book published by Columbia |
0:50.7 | University Press on the origins of the mortgage market. Judge, welcome to the show. |
0:55.3 | Thanks so much for having me, Jordan. So what do you make of these numbers? Do you buy into the |
0:59.3 | argument that homeownership is increasingly out of reach? And if so, is that meaningful? |
1:04.8 | Well, it's not necessarily out of reach in that if you look at the national homeownership rate, |
1:09.6 | it's around 66%. |
1:12.0 | So two-thirds of households in America own their own homes. |
1:15.9 | And that's not too far from the historical average. |
1:19.4 | We had a bump up to almost 70% during the housing boom. |
1:23.3 | But this 66% is pretty normal. |
1:25.7 | Now, that... |
1:27.0 | Pause for a second. |
1:27.7 | When you say boom, the boom pre-housing bubble burst in 2008? |
1:32.3 | Yes. |
1:32.6 | And we can get into that, how much of that was a bubble? |
1:35.5 | Because one of my long-term cases, our arguments has been that it was not a bubble. |
1:39.5 | And I think the increase in housing prices since 2006, actually, has shown that that was, if anything, |
1:46.1 | just a forerunner of what we've seen in recent years, which is a continual increase in |
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