This is Spectator Radio and you're listening to The Spectator podcast with Lara Prendergast.

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Hello and welcome back to The Spectator podcast. I'm Lara Prendergast.

With just days to go till the meaningful vote, the government looks set to lose it by a humiliating margin.

So what's next for Theresa May?

I ask one of the Tory MPs opposing her deal, former university's minister Sam Jima.

And over on the continent, France is buckling down

for another weekend of riots from the Gilles-Lijon. So can Macron give them what they want?

And what exactly do they want? And finally, we discuss whether British has become a country

of show-offs. Over 100 Tory MPs have said that they will vote against May's Brexit deal, but no one

quite knows what will happen if it really is voted down. Would we plummet towards a no-dil?

Or would we end up with Norway Plus or even a second referendum? James Forsyth and Katie Balls

write about this impending political cliffhanger in this week's cover piece. James joins

me now, along with Sam Gimar, who resigned last week as the government's university's minister

in opposition to May's deal. So James, things are obviously moving very fast at the moment, but can

you give us an assessment of where you think we've got to and whether you think the deal is

looking likely to pass? At the moment, think the deal is looking likely to pass.

At the moment, the deal does not look likely to pass. The numbers of people coming out against it are still growing. All of number 10's efforts to win people around, they're not bearing fruit.

I think part of the problem is that all trust is gone. So the value of a prime ministerial reassurance, that's a devalued currency right now.

So the question is, if her deal loses, what happens next?

And I think the challenge of Theresa Mays is that she's not managed to persuade anyone.

Everyone thinks that if Theresa May's deal go down, they're more likely to get what they want,

...