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Equity

The SpaceX IPO could finally happen (and it's a big deal)

Equity

TechCrunch

Entrepreneurship, Business News, News, Business, Technology

4.2372 Ratings

🗓️ 28 January 2026

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

SpaceX is reportedly lining up four major Wall Street banks for a 2026 IPO that could provide the reset the market needs.  The company just completed a tender offer at an $800 billion valuation, and secondary market demand is through the roof. If SpaceX goes public anywhere near its rumored $1.5 trillion valuation, it could trigger an IPO cascade for other late-stage unicorns like OpenAI, Stripe, and Databricks.  Today on TechCrunch’s Equity podcast, Rebecca Bellan spoke with Greg Martin, Managing Director at Rainmaker Securities, to discuss why this IPO feels different, how tech employees are cashing out through secondary markets before companies go public, and what investors are actually looking for in pre-IPO shares.  Listen to the full episode to hear:  Which other late-stage unicorns are seeing the most secondary trading action right now.  Why SpaceX is ready to go public, despite previously saying it “wouldn't IPO until rockets were flying to Mars regularly” (and why Martin doesn’t think SpaceX will continue on its debut path if the market tanks)  The "Elon halo effect" and how much of SpaceX's valuation is based on Musk himself  What happens when SpaceX employees want to sell shares before the IPO  Chapters: 00:00 Introduction 01:39 The Booming Secondary Market for Pre-IPO Shares 04:06 SpaceX as an IPO Bellwether 06:31 Why Elon Musk Changed His Mind on Going Public 10:04 The Race to a Trillion-Dollar Valuation 12:27 The Elon Halo Effect on Valuations 15:17 What Signals an Upcoming IPO? 17:50 How Secondaries Drive Better Price Discovery 20:47 How SpaceX Secondaries Actually Work 24:03 What Investors Want from Pre-IPO Companies 25:11 The Have and Have-Not World of Secondaries 26:42 Outro Subscribe to Equity on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Overcast, Spotify and all the casts. You also can follow Equity on X and Threads, at @EquityPod.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Ready to ship AI that works, start building at MongoDB.com slash build.

0:05.8

Hello and welcome back to Equity TechCrunch's flagship podcast about the business of startups.

0:10.7

I'm Rebecca Balan, and this is the episode where we bring on industry experts to help us explore a trend in the tech world and dive deep.

0:17.2

SpaceX is reportedly lining up four major Wall Street banks for potential 2026 IPO.

0:22.6

So today we're talking about whether we'll finally see the IPO window crack open,

0:26.6

how companies like SpaceX are creating liquidity for employees while they wait,

0:30.6

and what investors are looking for from their pre-IPO companies.

0:43.4

We're joined by Greg Martin, managing director at Rainmaker Securities, a broker-dealer specializing in secondary share transactions for large-stage private companies.

0:48.7

Greg, welcome to the show.

0:50.1

Thank you, Rebecca.

0:50.9

Good to be here.

0:51.7

Yeah, really excited to have you on to talk about this.

0:53.8

So I know before we jumped on, you said that you wear mini hats.

0:57.5

So give us a bit of your background.

0:59.3

Yeah, a little bit of my background.

1:00.1

So, you know, as you mentioned, founder and managing director of Rainmaker Securities,

1:05.5

which specializes in helping large, late-shape pre-IPO companies transact shares in the secondary market.

1:12.0

I also am the founder of a secondary firm that buys private company shares called Archer Capital Group.

1:18.2

And I'm also co-founder of a business that helps employees and executives exercise their options

1:24.8

using their shares as collateral called Liquid stock. So I really see this

1:29.8

market from multiple different angles. So I'm happy to discuss SpaceX, which is a company that we

1:34.9

know very well, and do a lot of business. Yeah. So you seem pretty on the pulse about secondaries.

...

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