4.5 • 705 Ratings
🗓️ 16 September 2019
⏱️ 10 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to Axis ProRata, where we take just 10 minutes to get you smarter on the collision of tech, business, and politics. |
0:12.7 | Sponsored by Bridge Bank. Be bold. Venture wisely. I'm Dan Permac. On today's show, GM workers go on strike and what you can't find on TikTok. |
0:21.5 | But first, the Saudi situation. |
0:23.5 | So on Saturday, as you've probably heard by now, a series of coordinated attacks took |
0:28.0 | out around half of Saudi Arabia's oil production, representing around 5% of global capacity. |
0:33.3 | In terms of barrels, it is the single largest oil disruption in history, topping both the Iranian Revolution and the 1991 Gulf War. |
0:41.1 | Now, for the world, this matters because we could be headed toward military conflict with Iran. |
0:45.8 | You know, war. |
0:46.8 | Although no one is quite sure if President Trump's Twitter bark about being, quote, locked and loaded, has actual bite. |
0:52.3 | For the oil markets, it's a reminder of just how vulnerable |
0:55.3 | global supply really is, despite recent talk of overcapacity. It also presents an interesting |
1:00.4 | challenge for U.S. producers, particularly in the so-called shale patch, where companies have |
1:04.6 | been trying to exhibit more financial discipline by being less reactionary. Oh, and of course, |
1:09.1 | prices at the pump, expect those to go up. |
1:11.1 | Finally, there is Saudi Arabia itself, which has been planning to take its state-owned oil |
1:15.1 | company, called A Ramco, public, in what would be the largest global IPO of all time. |
1:20.5 | In just the last couple of weeks, it's picked bankers and installed new leadership, but now |
1:24.7 | Aramco is tasked with assessing the damage and trying to get those |
1:28.1 | injured facilities back online. If it does so quickly, then it's possible investors will reward |
1:32.9 | the resilience. But if not, it could give more credence to the risk factors. Either way, Aramco's |
1:38.5 | near-term performance could be worth tens of billions to Saudi Arabia in the long term. In 15 |
1:43.5 | seconds, we'll go deeper with |
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