The Ripple Effects of War ft. Jacob Shapiro
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision
4.1 โข 1.1K Ratings
๐๏ธ 15 October 2024
โฑ๏ธ 44 minutes
๐๏ธ Recording | iTunes | RSS
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| 0:00.0 | I'm excited to show you an app I've been using for a while. It's called Kalshi and it's the first legal exchange where you can trade on any event. |
| 0:06.8 | As of October, they've got approval to list the first regulated markets on the outcome of elections. |
| 0:12.2 | They have markets on who will win the |
| 0:13.7 | presidential election, who will control the House and Senate, who will win |
| 0:17.2 | swing states. They also have markets on inflation, interest rates, Oscars, |
| 0:21.3 | Billboard Top 100, |
| 0:22.8 | video games, and more. |
| 0:24.8 | Let's walk through a market and place a trade |
| 0:26.6 | on the outcome of the election. |
| 0:28.5 | Let's say you think Kamala will win, |
| 0:30.7 | you can currently buy them winning for 50 cents. So you can buy a hundred shares at |
| 0:34.8 | 50 cents each, so that's $50 for a hundred shares. If you are right, you will get $100 back and |
| 0:41.1 | double your money. You can also sell early if their odds of winning go up to say 70%. |
| 0:46.8 | You can sell for 70% each and locked in $70. If you don't want to trade, you can also |
| 0:52.4 | look at the live odds to see who is more likely to win the race. |
| 0:56.0 | Kolshi is the first legal exchange in the U.S. to trade on these kind of events. |
| 1:00.0 | The election markets are now live to trade and they are the first regulated place where you can do this. |
| 1:04.8 | I'm proud to have Kolshi as a sponsor and I hope you check them out. |
| 1:08.6 | You can sign up using my link in the description and the first 500 traders who deposit $50 will get a free $20 credit. Hi everyone and welcome to this deep dive on macro and geopolitics here at |
| 1:30.7 | Real Vision. My name is Sennreastino, your host for the next hour. And I'm pleased to be joined by one of the best watchers of macro and geopolitics out there, named the Jacob Shapiro, head of Geopolitics and macro at the bespoke group. |
| 1:44.8 | Great to see you, Jacob. |
| 1:46.0 | I don't know if I'm one of the best, but I did stay at a holiday in express last night, |
... |
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