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Welcome to the commentary magazine daily podcast for Tuesday, October 6, 2020.

I am John Poghord. It's the editor of commentary magazine with me as always executive editor,

a green walled high a hi John associated editor, no, we're off from high nela. Hi John.

And senior writer, Christine Rosen, high Christine. Hi John. Notice I didn't ask how any of you were doing

because that threw everybody off that I was just so nice enough to ask about how you were doing

and then you just had no no answer. That was yesterday's terrible. It was a huge program. Right.

So this morning 6 a.m. CNN announces that its poll has Joe Biden up by 16 points 5741.

This follows the NBC News Wall Street Journal poll a couple of days ago that had Biden up 14.

I mean the reason I mentioned them in tandem is that it's very easy to dismiss one enormous result

as an outlier. It is harder to dismiss a second result as an outlier. Some people were looking at the

Wall Street Journal NBC poll, excuse me I'm sorry, and saying well you know they're they're

cooking the books because this is a poll only of registered voters not of likely voters. We talked

about this yesterday and the NBC and therefore they're trying to like push Biden's numbers up.

NBC explained that the reason that they are doing register rather than likely voters is that the voter

enthusiasm and interest and turnout expectations are so high that there will be very little distinction

registered voters and likely voters. And the CNN poll is of likely voters. So we have a registered

voter poll at 14 and a likely voter poll at 16. According to the logic of the people who are

complaining about the registered voter only poll, the likely voter poll should have been should have

been more trending in Trump's direction. And it didn't it went the other way. Now of course there

are margins of error here and there are questions about who's being surveyed and all of that. But

if you want to stand here and say the polls are wrong, you have to then say look if the polls are

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