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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

The Real Risk Goes Beyond War

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, Business, Investing, News

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 30 March 2026

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno is back with his co-host, Steno Research’s head of geopolitics, Mikkel Rosenvold, to break down the latest global drivers in macro. In this episode, with bond yields already rising and central banks under pressure, Andreas and Mikkel assess whether global markets are underpricing the inflation and energy shocks caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. And don't forget to check out The Arena, our new trade idea league. Get in on the action, and you could be eligible for prizes totaling $25,000. To learn more and join, visit realvision.com/arena. Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello, all there.

0:06.8

Welcome to Real Vision.

0:08.1

Welcome to Macro Mondays.

0:10.5

My name is Miguel Rusmal.

0:11.6

I'm joined as usual by Andreas Daniel, my co-hosts,

0:14.6

for another jam-packed Monday show, Andreas.

0:18.9

We should be getting used to this by now after almost, what is it,

0:22.7

15 months of this Trump presidency, but these Mondays are never boring. How about this for

0:28.8

a Monday, Andreas? Crazy volatility in markets over to Trump's opening remarks just before

0:33.4

market open. We'll try and unwrap it a little bit, but what's the day been like for you so far,

0:39.1

Andreas? It's afternoon here in Copenhagen, of course. Well, you kind of know that. We had lunch

0:44.3

with a potential upcoming business partner while Trump was tweeting from the Lou. And all of a sudden

0:52.2

everything turned around. I'm personally pretty satisfied with what we've seen today since I haven't implemented any index hedges.

0:59.5

We've been patient so far with a decent result.

1:04.6

We've obviously made some changes to our portfolio.

1:07.1

But we've been of the view that you needed to implement, say, smart alpha rotations to your portfolio instead of betting on an outright meltdown.

1:16.3

And that has so far been an okay view.

1:20.0

It is incredibly difficult to have a strong directional view here, since it's very dependent on these negotiations between Trump and Iran and whether there are any like fruitful negotiations we don't even know.

1:31.8

I'll hand the word to you in a second on that.

1:34.7

But I'll I'll say this and I think it's fairly safe to say, even though I'm a young money manager.

1:40.3

I don't think we've ever had a presidency with as much random arbitrary volatility creation as the one with Trump here.

1:51.1

And it's one thing that I'll actually say again today.

...

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