This is the athletic football show.

Welcome to the athletic football show.

I'm Robert Mays.

Great show for you guys today.

Michael Sean Duggar is going to be joining us a little bit later for our weekly team visit. We dug into all things Seahawks, the derailing of the Let Russ Cook movement, what's going on with their offense, everything. Before we do any of that, though, a man that I can't believe it's been this long since he's been on the show. It's week 13, but I'm glad to have him back. The Athletics Zone, Mike, how you doing, man? I am doing well. It's so good to be here, Robert. I love your work. You know, your weekly columns are a really nice ad to the athletics. So people are going to plug your columns on your show. They're really good. Nice little deep dives and extra time put in. So I'm happy to be here. I know we're going to have a good conversation. So we were kicking around ideas for what we wanted to talk about here. And you do a lot of work talking to executives and kind of thinking about where the league is, seeing the whole chessboard. And it might be strange timing for what we're going to talk about. But in a way, I don't think it is. We're going to talk about the coming quarterback carousel and what it might look like in 2021. You just wrote about it. I just wrote about which teams could trade for Sam Darnold. So it's been fresh in our minds. And I also think this week has set the table for it pretty well.

We have Carson Wentz getting benched a couple hours before we started recording this show.

The Lions just fired their general manager, which puts Matthew Stafford's future into a much murkier place.

You recently wrote about that.

So it may seem strange to do this in the middle of December, but I think that the news cycle has kind of set us up to have a really good conversation about it. Absolutely. You know, and I think we have to think about these things in advance. I mean, you know, it's not that far away from GMs coming in and look, they've already made a decision. The decisions are, they've already made a decision on what's to not play them this week. So it's, I think it's totally topical.

I think it's a good one. I actually did a little, you gave me the teams you want to look at. I actually put the percentages in. I like sort of it here. And I didn't you love that. I was actually talking to a guy from a front office about it. He's like, okay, I'd go higher percentage on this team. So I've got all this stuff here.

I'm ready.

That's why I wanted to do this with you.

So what we're going to do this with you.

So what we're going to do is I struggled with figuring out how the best way to lay this out. And what we landed on is we're going to go through all the teams that theoretically could make a quarterback change from their week one starter from this year. So that's the caveat. And we're going to give the percentage chance. It'll be a different starter next year and who those guys might be.

So I want to start with the Lions because you... caveat. And we're going to give the percentage chance. It'll be a different starter next year and who those guys might be.

So I want to start with the Lions because you just wrote about Matthew Stafford and you've been thinking about this.

So what would you say the likelihood is that the Detroit Lions will have a new starting quarterback for week one of the 2021 season?

I said 10%. That's the second low change percentage of anyone for me.

Now, that is shocking to me.

Give me any reasoning.

Yeah, you know, I think, I think people will come into that job and see a really

talented guy and realize how hard it is to find another one. And I think there's a lot of people in the league who looked over there and said, if I only had that guy, they keep screwing it up. How do you lose with Matthew Stafford? Now, we'll see how the rest of the year goes if he tanks or injuries are a problem again. But I don't think they're in a situation where they

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