The Projections Discussion That Supercharges Your Contingency-Based Drafting - Stealing Bananas
Rotoviz Radio
Blue Wire
4.8 ⢠770 Ratings
šļø 8 July 2024
ā±ļø 156 minutes
šļø Recording | iTunes | RSS
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| 0:00.0 | It's projection season talking through some of the most interesting takeaways from my first 15 team projections. |
| 0:19.4 | That's what we're going to talk about today on stealing bananas |
| 0:21.2 | and ben gretch you can find my newsletter at benggretsch.substack.com with me as always is sean seagel |
| 0:26.0 | you can find all of his great work over at rhodoviz and sean as we've been talking about in the pre-show |
| 0:32.0 | as you know because i've been messaging you over the weekend i've been deep in the lab on projections |
| 0:35.9 | i've got 15 teams done, |
| 0:39.4 | been really grinding through them at a little bit of a quicker pace than usual, which doesn't |
| 0:43.5 | mean they're taking any less time. I often get asked, how long do these take? At least an hour |
| 0:47.8 | team. You really got to, for me, like, I'm endlessly curious. I love this process because it |
| 0:53.9 | causes me to test things I didn't |
| 0:56.2 | even know I believed and go look at the data and think through how I expect the team to |
| 1:00.2 | operate and and how good they'll be. And it's a very thorough process for me. I have to answer a lot |
| 1:09.0 | of different questions about the usage and the efficiency of a lot of different questions about the usage and the |
| 1:11.2 | efficiency of a lot of different players and the overall volume for a team just to get one |
| 1:16.3 | team's projection done. A lot of numbers go into that. And I want to be able to defend every |
| 1:21.5 | little number that I put in. So I spend a lot of time on it. So yeah, it's been a long weekend. |
| 1:26.6 | I'm a little bit wired. I was telling you before the show, just bouncing through all of these different numbers. But when we talk about the projections this time of year, every year, you like to discuss them on the show a little bit. You've, the last couple of years, like to ask me some questions about things that I've found or things that I'm uncovering or digging into when I go through this process. |
| 1:46.9 | And I always really enjoy that as well. |
| 1:48.8 | So I've been sending you some notes about things that I thought were interesting. |
| 1:53.8 | Some of the takes that we've discussed showing up, I think, in my actual projections as very viable. |
| 2:02.3 | Some other stuff, maybe harder to see. |
| 2:05.9 | That's the fun part about the projections, is really getting into the team volume stuff |
... |
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