what's up guys rick here with your betting and one and done preview for this week's

northern trust and this is actually take two for me because i've already recorded this

but the file was corrupt and I couldn't get it to

upload or play or anything. So I'm going to run through this again. It might be a little bit

quicker, uh, this time around because I've just spent so much time trying to figure all this

out. But I hope you enjoy.

Let's get after it.

All right.

We'll start back here on the tournament predictor tool.

This is where we are trying to determine if there is any value in how often a golfer is going to get to the potential winning score versus how often

Vegas is implying him to win the golf tournament based on what his odds are.

Bryson D. Shambo at 11 to 1, currently to win this golf tournament is the favorite.

Justin Thomas at 13 to 1.

Rory McElroy, McElroy, John Rom, at 15 to 1,

and then Zander Shoffley at 17 to 1.

Those are the only five golfers that are shorter than 20 to 1 to win this golf tournament.

So let's focus on them first.

And the only guy of the top 5 that actually has positive expected value when it comes

to this model is that of Rory McElroy.

So Vegas implying him to win this golf tournament 6.25% of the time, I actually have the

model, getting him to the winning score closer to about 8% of the time.

I know that's only 1.6% more often, but when you're talking about outright, that is a pretty

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